Posted on 06/05/2007 6:30:42 AM PDT by bnelson44
With former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson taking his first formal steps towards a Presidential run and the immigration debate creating challenges for Arizona Senator John McCain, the race for the Republican Presidential nomination has an entirely different look this week.
Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (R) remains on top, but his support has slipped to 23%. That’s down two points from a week ago and is his lowest level of support all year. Earlier, Giuliani had consistently enjoyed support in the mid-30s. That was before Thompson’s name was added to the mix and before Giuliani stumbled on the abortion issue in the first GOP debate of the season.
Thompson, who just formed an exploratory committee and is the newest face in the race, immediately moved into second place. With 17% support, he is within six points of the frontrunner. That’s closer than anybody has been to Giuliani in 20 consecutive weekly polls. Thompson is also competitive in a variety of general election match-ups with potential Democratic nominees.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
How apropos, but I don’t believe that.
Is the primary system a winner take all , like the electoral college. I think the conservative vote is getting split around 3 candidates, while Giuliani has got the moderate/liberal vote consolidated.
Me neither... must be .14
As long as he’s dead last I really don’t care what the number is.
When the conservative vote finally consolidates around one candidate (likely Fred), that candidate will take a clear lead.
McCain is fading fast, I don’t think I will miss him.
He was a better candidate in 2000 than he is today.
I am hoping that Ron Paul unleashes another “rocket” tonight, for that reason alone I may watch this early debate.
Popcorn Check
Diet Coke Check
Let the debate begin....LOL
Did anyone else notice this factoid from Rasmussen’s Site:
A Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of 15,000 adults in May found that just 30.8% now say they’re Republicans. That’s down slightly from last month and down more than six percentage points from the GOP peak of 37.3% during Election 2004. The number of Republicans has been falling fairly steadily since the middle of 2005.
WE are bleeding Republicans, if this keeps up we will persona non grata in US politics, bush is literally killing the Republican Party.
Once Fred is officially in, the pressure coming from conservatives for McCain to get out is going to mount quickly. It’ll be interesting to see his response...
“WE are bleeding Republicans, if this keeps up we will persona non grata in US politics, bush is literally killing the Republican Party.”
This is typical when a party loses an election. I wouldn’t fret it much.
I don’t see any reason for McCain to drop out until votes are actually being cast.
Where’s the fence?
ooooo.....a national poll. We’ve got national Presidential primaries, right?
Just because someone puts out some numbers and has a recognized pollster name, doesn’t mean the numbers actually MEAN something.
“WE are bleeding Republicans, if this keeps up we will persona non grata in US politics, bush is literally killing the Republican Party.”
...the word Republican is dying. The conservative beliefs are still alive and well! Let Hillary and Obama continue their socialist rhetoric on health care, income re-distribution etc. Fred will triumph on core conservative principle along with a hard line stance against amnesty. Amnesty will be the key issue in 2008.
I see it the other way.
Fred gets 50%, and the 3 Rinos split the other half.
How do you see it laying out?
Wow, wonder what happens when Fred is actually in the race?
You want state by state, then? Thompson is now 1st in South Carolina and 2nd in California... I'm sure there will be other reports trickling in.
Besides, you're the one who's been harping that Thompson needs $100 million to compete -- doesn't a large national following imply an ability/opportunity to raise funds?
... and Thompson is 2nd in Florida, and that’s prior to the announcement of his exploratory committee.
| State | Rank | Poll | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| California | 2nd (tie) | Survey USA | 6/4 |
| Florida | 2nd | Datamar | "Late May" |
| Iowa | 2nd | Public Policy Polling | 6/4 |
| New Hampshire | 4th | Survey USA | 5/7 |
| North Carolina | 2nd | Public Policy Polling | 5/7 |
| South Carolina | 1st | Public Policy Polling | 6/4 |
| Washington | 3rd | Survey USA | 5/3 |
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