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If the Iowa Straw Poll is such a joke why do the campaigns do everything they can to make a good showing? The Straw Poll has taken on the significance the Caucus once had--that is to get rid of some candidates.

Seems to me that Iowa has now gotten rid of McCain and Rudy but without them having to support the party and I can't blame them for that.

I believe McCain is DONE. Rudy probably still has some life--especially in the NE but his numbers are on the way down.

So this tells me Rudy has no grassroots support and McCain’s will soon be moving to camp FRed.

Good question - good observations.

History is the answer to Iowa - so many years of precedent made it a force to be dealt with.

But no more - the entire primary process is being redefined and Iowa is NOT what it once was.

The rule book does not exist right now - it’s in the process of being written.

Good or bad - that remains to be seen.

I actually see Rudy as gaining strength after about 4 weeks of tough going - he is regaining his footing. In my opinion.

Mitt is taking a lot of blows - Fred Thompson is about to get into the fight - and he will be bombarded for “not playing by the rules”.

I think (I think) it’s Rudy vs. Fred in the end - and I think Rudy wins the GOP nomination.

But - as I have said before - I supported Perot - so my vision is not 20-20.

Maybe they’re afraid of Dave Yepsen.

"If the Iowa Straw Poll is such a joke why do the campaigns do everything they can to make a good showing? The Straw Poll has taken on the significance the Caucus once had--that is to get rid of some candidates."

I think you have it right Conservativegreatgrandma.

I highly recommend that others read a post written by FReeper 'Jeff Fuller' who is a resident of Iowa and a keen observer of Iowa politics. The post was very helpful to me to become better informed about the great significance of the Ames Straw Poll to the Iowa GOP and the following Iowa Caucus Night. I think Giuliani and McCain are finished in Iowa.

Giuliani/McCain Campaigns on "Life Support" . . . They Flip-Flop on Ames Straw Poll

From an article published today (6/7/07) at The Politico:

An internal polling memo to Romney’s senior staff, dated May 31 and provided to Playbook last night, showed the results of a survey for the campaign of 402 likely Iowa Republican caucus-goers, conducted from May 29 to May 31 and with a margin of error of 4.9 percent. Internal campaign polls are not considered as reliable as polls for outside organizations, even though they are often more expensive and rigorous, because the questions and results can be manipulated. But the data provide a useful window into what a particular campaign is thinking, and how it is basing its decisions.
“Gov. Romney holds a significant lead on the ballot in Iowa today, standing ahead of his closest competitor by 17 points,” the memo begins. “He has gained 14 points in the past two months while all of the other major candidates have lost ground or remained stagnant. It is clear from the data that this movement is attributable to the campaign’s strong presence in Iowa—the combined effect of our advertising, the Governor’s travel schedule, and our superior grassroots organization.”
The numbers were Romney 29 percent, Giuliani 12 percent, Fred Thompson 10 percent, Newt Gingrich 10 percent, John McCain 9 percent, Mike Huckabee 7 percent, other candidates 11 percent and undecided 12 percent. In March, the poll for Romney had showed Giuliani in first place at 24 percent, following by McCain at 17 percent and Romney at 15 percent.
“Gov. Romney’s ratings are extremely favorable in the state—78 percent of caucus-goers have a favorable impression of him with only 10% having an unfavorable impression,” the memo continues. “The governor’s favorables have increased by 10 points over the past two months. By comparison, Giuliani’s favorability rating has decreased by a net of 15 points since March, and McCain’s has dropped by a net of 11 points. … It is clear that the more voters find out about Gov. Romney, the more they like him. 72 percent of caucus-goers say what they have heard recently about the governor gave them a more favorable impression of him. By comparison, as voters become more knowledgeable about the candidates’ positions, we see them moving away from Giuliani and McCain.”
The conventional wisdom is that however it looks now, the boycott will save McCain money he needs and could wind up being an asset since he won’t be stuck defending what was likely to be a second-place finish, at best.
^{Politico Playbook: White flag(s), June 7, 2007}