I was not downplaying the poll. I was just referring to the fact that it’s about a hypothetical national primary that will never happen. In a related news thompson won a poll at the tennessean website about a race between him and Al Gore.
Okay, how about state by state, then:
State | Rank | Source | Date |
---|---|---|---|
All | 1st (tie) 2nd 3rd |
Rasmussen LA Times/Bloomberg AP/Ipsos |
6/12 6/12 6/10 |
CA | 2nd (tie) | Survey USA | 6/4 |
FL | 2nd 1st |
Insider Advanatge Datmar |
6/11 5/23 |
IA | 2nd | Public Policy Polling | 6/4 |
NC | 1st | Public Policy Polling | 6/7 |
NH | 4th 4th |
Mason Dixon Franklin Pierce College |
6/8 6/6 |
SC | 1st | Public Policy Polling | 6/4 |
WA | 3rd | Survey USA | 5/3 |
Your man Mitt leads Thompson only in Iowa and New Hampshire -- in all the other states Thompson trails, it's behind Guiliani and/or McCain.
To suggest that national polls don't reflect what is going on in the states is being a bit obtuse. Mitt might have his pet states in the northeast and he has been working Iowa hard, but that won't win the nomination. Thompson is out polling Mitt by 2 to 1. No matter how you divide that between the states that is not good news for Mitt.