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IEA warns of tight oil market this yea
yahoo ^ | 6/12/07 | by Janet McEvoy

Posted on 06/12/2007 5:23:12 PM PDT by Flavius

PARIS (AFP) - The world oil market risks being tighter later this year if OPEC is inflexible over production, the International Energy Agency warned on Tuesday, sharply raising its estimate for world oil demand in 2007. ADVERTISEMENT click here

The IEA pointed to unexpectedly strong demand in big emerging economies, a sharp fall of world supply in May and another crimping of supply in June because of routine maintenance on infrastructure outside the OPEC zone.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: energy; oil; oili
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1 posted on 06/12/2007 5:23:15 PM PDT by Flavius
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To: Flavius
The IEA has been at odds with OPEC over the need to pump more crude.

Then they should sue! LOL
2 posted on 06/12/2007 5:26:50 PM PDT by P-40 (Al Qaeda was working in Iraq. They were just undocumented.)
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To: Flavius

BOHICA


3 posted on 06/12/2007 5:27:31 PM PDT by FixitGuy (By their fruits shall ye know them!)
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To: Flavius

Time for energy independence yet? Or shall we wait until it hits $10 a gallon?


4 posted on 06/12/2007 5:28:31 PM PDT by mysterio
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To: mysterio
Time for energy independence yet?

It has been time for a long time. I have been impressed with what this President has done towards meeting that goal but I am not known for my patience.
5 posted on 06/12/2007 5:30:21 PM PDT by P-40 (Al Qaeda was working in Iraq. They were just undocumented.)
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To: mysterio

i still belive price is 30

price will drop in my opinion


6 posted on 06/12/2007 5:33:20 PM PDT by Flavius ("Qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum")
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To: Flavius

Hot brides from the Ukraine too...


7 posted on 06/12/2007 5:53:07 PM PDT by xcamel ("It's Thompson Time!")
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To: Flavius

Is your belief strong enough to gamble your own money?

Lots of money to be made (or lost) in such a difference.

CRUDE OIL Daily Futures
http://www2.barchart.com/dfutpage.asp?sym=CL&code=BSTK


8 posted on 06/12/2007 6:12:39 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney

yes it is

i just dont trade futures

yet


9 posted on 06/12/2007 6:15:58 PM PDT by Flavius ("Qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum")
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To: Flavius

New Flash: Freeper “Flowerplough” warns of tight oil market for the next decade. See “Asian demand”.


10 posted on 06/12/2007 7:00:08 PM PDT by flowerplough
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To: Flavius

Do you have a time line for your prediction? Is $30 a barrel the price you believe oil will fall to in the near future?


11 posted on 06/12/2007 10:22:29 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney

opec did not want the 80s type of collapse

where they saw the 10 dollars gas

exxon guy that left said the fair price is 35

i imagine sometime during 2008 and if/when iran crisis is over(?)

so depends how lucky one gets with iran situation if it turns into iraq then no crash i imagine

if iran turns out positive then id say 1-3 yrs, back to 45-50

also there is 4 yrs worth of capacity in oil countries to supplement loss of oil coming from Iran, and there are 3 pipe lines build (not sure if done yet) that bypass the Persian gulf , again to prevent major disaster via Iran

i guess good indicators are that it takes 1 dollar to get oil out of the ground in Iraq, and 3 in Saudi lands, its 4 in
Kuwait that one was high number and most are concerned with that..

anyway thats teh logic behind the crash


12 posted on 06/13/2007 3:17:52 AM PDT by Flavius ("Qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum")
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To: thackney
plus bs like this keeps popping up under the radar...

Oil companies go deep into Gulf's potential http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/business/4885052.html

13 posted on 06/13/2007 3:21:27 AM PDT by Flavius ("Qui desiderat pacem, praeparet bellum")
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To: Flavius
opec did not want the 80s type of collapse

where they saw the 10 dollars gas

If OPEC learned a lesson in the 80s, they had forgot it by 1998~99 when oil price dropped below $10/barrel.

Gasoline has never been priced at $10, even with inflation adjusted dollars.

i guess good indicators are that it takes 1 dollar to get oil out of the ground in Iraq, and 3 in Saudi lands, its 4 in Kuwait that one was high number and most are concerned with that..

It is cheaper to get produce oil in the Middle East but no where near this low.

Thanks for your opinion on the oil prices. I believe $45~50 is possible in 3 years, but there is far to many things that effect the market for me to bet on it.

14 posted on 06/13/2007 6:39:16 AM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney
well business week

had oil price in iraq at 1

and 3 with saudies

ap had a story on kuwait at 4 and they were complaining, so this is a 2nd report,

Al-Shall Economic Consultants said in a report published Saturday that the production cost has increased from 1.4 dollars a barrel in 2001 to 4.42 dollars a barrel in 2007, growing by 18 percent annually on average.

http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20070609/bs_afp/kuwaitoilprobe_070609175144 so i am SURE prices are that low

and im am also sure that i read 10 dollars not sure if price adjustment for inflation was there

i have not a clue where you get your data from but its not near what im getting so i guess we can all look at our data,

15 posted on 06/13/2007 5:53:37 PM PDT by Flavius
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To: Flavius
I could have saved ya all alot of trouble...and posted this 6 months ago.......
16 posted on 06/13/2007 5:56:21 PM PDT by Osage Orange (Gun exchange programs would work great if they gave you a gun when you handed in a criminal.)
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To: thackney

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$OIX&p=W&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p32697954155


17 posted on 06/13/2007 5:59:09 PM PDT by Osage Orange (Gun exchange programs would work great if they gave you a gun when you handed in a criminal.)
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To: Flavius

Those numbers reflect O&M costs only. The cost of oil needs to include the cost of exploration and capital investment because oil fields continuely decline in production without additional drilling, work overs and new infrastructure from the capital budget.


18 posted on 06/13/2007 6:04:46 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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To: thackney

yeah keep thinking that


19 posted on 06/13/2007 7:09:06 PM PDT by Flavius
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To: Flavius

Since design and operation of oil production facilities are my career, my information is not second hand.


20 posted on 06/13/2007 7:42:17 PM PDT by thackney (life is fragile, handle with prayer)
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