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I'm curious why you would be spending your time here if it's a forgone conclusion? Let's say for the sake of argument that you're right, that Fred doesn't stand a chance in Iowa. Why would you come here and seek out Fred supporter to rub it in their faces? Oh sure, you say you just want to give us a dose of reality.

But personally it seems more like you are trying to create an air of inevitability, to discourage Fred supporters from even trying to get Fred a decent showing at the Iowa poll. Unfortunately, this reeks at best of a deep discomfort with Fred in Iowa, or at worst, desperation.