To a large degree you’re right about simulations. However, unlike the global alarmists, DoD is going to do “continuous calibration with respect to current real-world information”. This is going to be an interesting project, but I suspect they’re going to find that they are many orders of magnitude from achieving real-time results.
Exactly. It can’t do any harm, as long as they don’t actually trust it for more than giving them another source of input.
The information they get can’t be much worse than what is provided them by the CIA and the Senate Intelligence Committee. One of the lessons the military quickly learned in Iraq was that they needed their own intelligence gathering, because the CIA was worse than useless—it was actually hoping that we would lose.