True, but the trend has to be disturbing for Romney and his fans -- it's starting to replay Iowa all over again. In Iowa, Romney jumped to a big lead by being the only one out there buying ads. But as Thompson got to be viewed more seriously, Fred moved from 4th through McCain and Guiliani, and then into 2nd by himself. Once that happened, Romney's double-digit lead has shrunk to barely more than the margin of error.
In New Hampshire, again Romney has enjoyed a big early lead (close to home state, ad buys) with Thompson running a distant 4th. But all of a sudden, Thompson starts moving up the pack, passing McCain and tying Guiliani for 2nd. If this keeps up, he'll soon be 2nd by himself and starting to close in on Romney's lead.
Howard Dean was well ahead of John Kerry in NH according to December 2003 polls.