Posted on 07/03/2007 12:03:04 PM PDT by Neville72
Tuesday, July 03, 2007
After weeks of turmoil and change, the race for the Republican Presidential nomination has stabilized.
Former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson remains on top in Rasmussen Reports national polling with 27% support. That’s unchanged from a week ago. Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani is three points behind at 24%.
Thompson has a 16-point advantage over Giuliani among conservatives while Giuliani holds an even larger edge among moderate voters. However, in the race for the Republican Presidential nomination, there are always more conservative voters than moderates.
A separate survey found that Thompson is currently viewed as the most conservative of all GOP candidates. Giuliani remains the best liked candidate. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Republicans now have a favorable opinion of America’s Mayor. Thompson’s numbers among the GOP faithful have been moving in the opposite direction. Sixty-four percent (64%) of GOP voters have a favorable opinion of the actor while just 12% have an unfavorable view.
This week’s national GOP poll also finds former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with a one-point edge over Arizona Senator John McCain for the fourth time in six weeks. Romney and McCain were tied during the other two weeks. Now, the numbers are 13% for Romney and 12% for McCain.
Romney is viewed favorably by 58% of Republican voters while 30% have a less flattering opinion. McCain is viewed favorably by 55% and unfavorably by 40% of Republicans.
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee is atop the second tier at 3%. Six other candidates--Senator Sam Brownback, Congressman Ron Paul, Congressman Tom Tancredo, former Governor Tommy Thompson, Congressman Duncan Hunter, and former Governor Jim Gilmore—split 4% of the vote. Eighteen percent (18%) are not sure.
The current survey is based upon national telephone interviews with 624 Likely Republican Primary Voters conducted June 25-28, 2007. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. The Rasmussen Reports sample includes not only Republicans, but also independents who say they are likely to vote in a Republican Primary.
Romney has not been able to gain traction in national polling, but he is on top in New Hampshire. The first Rasmussen Reports poll in that state finds the former Massachusetts Governor with a nine-point lead in his neighboring state.
McCain’s campaign is in serious trouble. The man once considered the dominant frontrunner had struggled for months. Over the past six weeks, his fervent support for the unpopular immigration reform bill may have been the final straw that doomed his campaign. His poll numbers are now closer to Huckabee and Brownback rather than Thompson and Giuliani. Media reports say the Arizona Senator is running very low on cash and has dramatically reduced his campaign staff. Last week, the Senator himself had to deny reports that he’d be out of the race by September.
While the Senate immigration bill hurt McCain and drove President Bush’s Job Approval to new lows, the number of people identifying themselves as Republicans increased last month. That’s the first monthly increase in Republican identification this year. Democrats continue to be trusted more than Republicans on most key issues, but the GOP has regained parity on national security. Among unaffiliated voters, Republicans are preferred on both national security and immigration.
Senator Hillary Clinton is the frontrunner for the Democratic Presidential nomination. She leads both the national and New Hampshire polls.
Rasmussen Reports releases updated polling data on the Republican nominating contest every Tuesday. Results for the Democrats are updated on Mondays.
If I cant have a head banging conservative, I’ll at least take someone that can play one on TV!
“At the end of the day you have to support him”.
Ain’t no way, the way things are, and Rudy doesn’t seem able to change. He may never have the balls to break free of NYC, and that is his greatest liability.
Seems to me you do know what you would be doing in that circumstance.
There is genuine excitement over Obama - he won the fund raising quarter by a big margin, and lots of enthusiastic, small donors. 2008 isn't shaping up to be a good year for anybody who opposes the dems - they have momentum and star power. The GOP really has neither.
I know some Freepers like to retreat to a fantasy land where the electorate is itching to return the GOP to power. It's just not true.
“I know some Freepers like to retreat to a fantasy land where the electorate is itching to return the GOP to power. It’s just not true.”
QFT
That sentiment could change, but I just don’t see signs of it right now. It Nov 2008, it may be different.
Right now, the electorate doesn’t have confidence in the admin to fight the terror war, or is even reconsidering the war entirely. If there were signs of this changing, I’d happily acknowledge it. Bush fatigue is significant, and the drip drip drip of dead soldiers in Iraq is further alienating people, right or wrong.
Calling it like it is.
No, you’re calling it like a long term doom and gloom troll, which is essentially what you are.
The mood now is not pro-Dem or pro-Republican. The mood is anti-Washington. The mood is anger at our government. And it is only getting worse.
Not really. You left out the rest of my quote, where I said I might leave the Presidential part blank if it's Rudy vs. a dem.
Woo hoo!! FRed the RINO killer is on the move!! Run, FRed, Run!!
“No, you’re calling it like a long term doom and gloom troll, which is essentially what you are.”
Please try to be realistic. Republican prospects right now are real, real dim. Anger might be focused on Washington, but do not fool yourself. R’s are bearing the brunt of it.
I’m not a long term doom & gloom troll. Just calling it as I see it. I routinely supported Dubya’s election in 2004 and even overestimated his electoral vote count.
A fairly large portion of my coworkers are Democratic, but mostly of the old Southern-style, and we love to discuss politics. When I came in this past weekend wearing my shirt, I had several of my coworkers ask about Fred's political views or tell me that they knew little or nothing about him. I would then explain his stances on a number of the issues. Most of them are quite impressed with him and told me that they would probably vote for him, especially if the alternative is Hillary or Obama.
BTW, our political discussions are similar to those in John Wayne's Undefeated, where we have an agreement that when one of us loses our temper or starts ranting, the other holds our his or her hand, we shake and then turn our conversation to another topic.
I guess you do not deem the Supreme Court very important.
Great. We’ve got the doom and gloom ‘realism’ report from a RudyBooster and a newbie who’s greatest contribution to the forum seems to be acting as a conduit to the GLBT community.
WA will welcome both of you with open arms.
It beats being a head in the sand reality denier.
Keep on truckin!!!
God was known to choose some men as king even though they had huge failings. Look at Jehu. God apparently chose Jehu (through His prophet Elisha) because He knew Jehu would be ruthless and merciless when it came to dispatching the idol-worshiping and pagan enemies of Israel. However, after destroying these people, Jehu apparently tolerated idols later in his reign, and was therefore, little different from those he destroyed.
The point is, we can use someone for the good they can do, even if they fail us in other areas. God could have picked "better" men than Jehu to lead Israel, but they may have lacked the "killer instinct" that Jehu brought to the table. I hope Fred is our nominee in November '08, but would vote for Rudy over a Dem.
For a doze of realism, look at the 2006 election results, where GOPers were dropkicked from office left & right.
It’s 8 months later and I don;t think the political climate is more hospitable to GOPers now. If you do, I suppose that speaks volumes for your political insight.
Write in the candidate of your choice. I've done it once before. It didn't accomplish anything but at least I didn't have to wear blinders when I shaved in the AM.
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