[gandalftb]

UBL is alive, Islam couldn't sit on his death. And, most importantly, his entourage would surface and contact their families.

Baluchistan is a big possibility but is so clannish, they don't have the cohesion to protect him. Nouristan, very likely, lots of Uzbeks nearby, his favorites, very remote.

Waziristan, most likely, lots of orginal AQ married into the clans there. Zawahiri is there, we know they are near each other.

We bumped UBL's reward last week to $50m. Rumor has it the clan hiding him wants a bigger payoff and complete relocation. Just a rumor.

[SevenMinusOne]

UBL is alive, Islam couldn't sit on his death. And, most importantly, his entourage would surface and contact their families.

Agreed - Furthermore we'd have certainly picked up increased chatter had he died or been killed. That has not happened....

But it will one of these days.....Time was on his side in the short term.....

[RTO]

This is plausible... and I keep asking how is it that “they” know the specifics of his current state of health, if “they” do not know where he is?

Oh BTW... I like your tag line... Saving Private Ryan?

[Straight Vermonter]

I think you are close on UBL’s whereabouts. I have thought he was likely in Chitral across the border from Nouristan. From this area he is <100 miles from being able to slip into Tajikistan, Afghanistan, Pakistan, China or India (Kashmir).

There is even regular airline service from Peshwar so his ISI buddies (or AQ buddies) can fly in to see him.