Posted on 07/29/2007 4:59:15 PM PDT by Sub-Driver
Atlantic Tropical Storms Have Doubled Jul 29 07:05 PM US/Eastern By RANDOLPH E. SCHMID AP Science Writer WASHINGTON (AP) - The number of tropical storms developing annually in the Atlantic Ocean more than doubled over the past century, with the increase taking place in two jumps, researchers say.
The increases coincided with rising sea surface temperature, largely the byproduct of human-induced climate warming, researchers Greg J. Holland and Peter J. Webster concluded. Their findings were being published online Sunday by Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London.
An official at the National Hurricane Center called the research "sloppy science" and said technological improvements in observing storms accounted for the increase.
From 1905 to 1930, the Atlantic-Gulf Coast area averaged six tropical cyclones per year, with four of those storms growing into become hurricanes.
The annual average jumped to 10 tropical storms and five hurricanes from 1931 to 1994. From 1995 to 2005, the average was 15 tropical storms and eight hurricanes annually.
Even in 2006, widely reported as a mild year, there were 10 tropical storms.
"We are currently in an upward swing in frequency of named storms and hurricanes that has not stabilized," said Holland, director of mesoscale and microscale meteorology at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colo.
"I really do not know how much further, if any, that it will go, but my sense is that we shall see a stabilization in frequencies for a while, followed by potentially another upward swing if global warming continues unabated," Holland said.
(Excerpt) Read more at breitbart.com ...
I would have to agree that it is sloppy science.
Hmm? It won’t be too long before the tropical storms and hurricanes predicted, get downgraded once more.
Not to worry, it's offset by the fact that it's been 5 years now since I last had a tornado take shingles off my roof here in central Illinois.
Such BS. There was no way to know what was out in the open ocean until there was radar. Probably the second jump came with the addition of satellites.
Nothing convinces me more that Global Warming is a hoax than some of these “scientific findings” that even a 10-year-old could easily swat down given 30 seconds to think through the hypothesis.
"Findings" are useless in any science report without the Methodology = subjects, apparatus, experimental design, procedure, statistical analysis.
Oh the miracle of weather satellites. Perhaps we should stop launching weather satellites, so that the number of hurricanes will go back down.
Does the article say anything about the lack of satellites (thus lack of knowledge about storms that form but don’t hit land) in the early 20th century?
Those government paid propagandist must do heavy drugs believing weather satellites, able to track TS across the Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico, have been with us since the dawn of man. Where can you find evidence of all those TS that never hit land, let alone the ones that hit in desolate or undocumented areas.
Nice conclusion, leave out logic and cross your fingers hoping some ignoramus buys what your shoveling.
It has nothing to do with the fact we now have satellites that can track these storms. How the heck do they know how many tropical storms there were in 1900. What a bunch of lying a-holes.
Warning, don’t drink and post.
Must lay off the wine for the rest of the evening. I am starting to repeat myself.
It is probably arrived from Ice core data, I am sure.
Maybe the number of storms have multiplied because the definition of what constitutes a tropical storm has been loosened? And perhaps 100 years ago many storms were not detected or considered just a thunderstorm?
The weather service issues a severe t storm warning now when the wind blows and it rains hard with a pebble of hail.
When I was a kid those were considered normal storms and we didn’t have to be told. Funny thing is.....many times the storm warnings are issued after the storm has already passed.
No, that was last year - coming off the record year of 2005. On the graph posted above us, note the hugh spike for 2005 but also notice hos that spike goes all the way back down for 2006.
Lawrence Solomon's "The Deniers" (a series of articles on the view of scientists who have been labelled "Global Warming Deniers"):
Other References:
Take that one year and average the other nine and I'll bet we're actually below average.
No mention that 1,100 years ago the incident of cat-5 hurricanes were from 4-10 times greater than present.
“Atlantic Tropical Storms Have Doubled [byproduct of human-induced climate warming, researchers]”
Oh, go suck an Egg!
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