Posted on 08/01/2007 5:34:19 PM PDT by SandRat
WASHINGTON, Aug. 1, 2007 Ongoing, tangible progress is being made in Iraq across security, economic and political fronts, U.S. officials said in Baghdad today. (Video)
Ongoing anti-insurgent operations conducted by U.S. and Iraqi security forces and Iraqi citizens growing rejection of insurgent-instigated violence are producing gains against al Qaeda and other extremists, Army Brig. Gen. Kevin Bergner, a spokesman for Multinational Force Iraq, told reporters at a Baghdad news conference. |
Biographies: Ryan C. Crocker Paul A. Brinkley Gen. David H. Petraeus, USA Related Sites: |
[Ongoing, tangible progress is being made in Iraq across security, economic and political fronts, U.S. officials said in Baghdad today.]
Nope. Can’t be true. Iraq is still a quagmire. Bush lied. (sticking fingers in my ears) LAAAAA-LAAAAA-LAAAAA-LAAAAA........
While I appreciate finally hearing an upbeat drumbeat coming from Iraq, I note that it is accompanied by far more positivism than hard data.
Ironically, in this stage of the occupation, we need maps of Iraq, Baghdad, and the other major cities, showing where the progress is, where the action is, and importantly, where the action isn’t.
A national incident map showing what is going on is worth far more than overall assessments. To start with, color code the big regions: green, yellow and red. The borders should be yellow at best if there is any traffic across them that brings problems.
Baghdad is a big city, and while there have been city maps showing the sectors of the city, it needs to be subdivided and labeled as well. Pinpoints showing incidents would really help us to see what parts of the city still need to be cooled.
It is long past the time when this was for the most part operational information of use to the enemy. Today it is essential to get the message across to the home front.
Much of the public enjoys the upbeat positivism, so keep it up. But for us data fiends who have been watching Iraq from the beginning with a microscope, we need to see the end game.
Somtimes too much detail in "open source" is a bad thing.
It is always operationally difficult to determine when a conflict has migrated from primarily a military campaign to a police action.
ROEs are a good indicator. The more restrictions placed on soldiers by their commanders as to the use of force, the more it is an operational indicator that the area has lost its tactical significance to the enemy.
Many parts of Iraq are in “permanent green” status, in which not only are there no incidents, but such little interest to the US military that it has been wholly turned over to Iraqi control.
“Permanent yellow” areas are like large, undefended border where enemy may cross, but not in great enough number to be defended in force all the time. Again they are static to the point where they will only change status when larger issues are taken care of.
“Red areas” in Iraq are known to be Diyala, Anbar and Baghdad.
Anbar is rapidly transitioning to yellow, but still needs serious application of force up the Euphrates River Valley, to insure it is stabilized, and that the Syrian flow of enemy has been curtailed. Neither of these could be depicted on a map in any way that would jeopardize ongoing operations.
Diyala and Baghdad are the most problematic to depict in the broad sense, Diyala more as a percentage of the region that has come under control. But Baghdad can be looked at as its parts, districts with wide variation in character, and it is commonly shown as such in maps.
Some Baghdad districts have more incidents, but this may not be indicative of where the attacks originated. A seemingly peaceful district may be a nest of vipers, with a more violent one just the victim. And this needs to be depicted and explained.
But again, operationally it has little meaning. If you were on the street in Baghdad, talking to someone familiar with the city, he could possibly tell you which of the districts are where the troublemakers are based, who is attacked most often, and where most of the military activity is concentrated—where the current push is.
While normally, this last would be the most operationally important, in this case, the clearing of Baghdad is being done in a methodical manner. It is no great secret to anyone who is there, except as to the exact times and places. Its impulse cannot be stopped or tempered, and its gains are fairly permanent.
So each day, the situation becomes more and more a police action, with appropriate changes in the ROEs to reflect the new reality. And while certainly there will always remain operational information not to be published, there is a lot more that should be out there, to back up the enthusiasm and optimism with facts, as much as some would like to ignore them.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.