I fail to see how Turkey can avoid a civil war in the next 20 years.
I think Turkey can avoid a civil war altogether by continuing to grow their economy and educating the islamobumpkins moving from very religious, conservative villages into cities to take newly created jobs. Secularists in Turkey run everything and are quite forward thinking. There may be intramural scrapping but a civil war just isn’t in the cards. At the end of the day, Turks — especially women — enjoy the Western lifestyle and are not about to give it up.