MS revived HD-DVD from the dead purely in an attempt to hurt Sony.. and it failed. You’ll be picking up 360 HD-DVD player add ons for $50 or less in the wal-mart clearance rack in 8 months or less.
Wii has this generation wrapped up, it will be the biggest installed... it has the broadest appeal, so it has a bigger pool of buyers, a cheaper price point AND it costs considerably less to make a Wii game than a PS3 or 360 game.
The battle will be for 2nd place, and as Blu-Ray clearly is the winner in the HD war, and as HD tv’s get more adoption, PS3 will sell better. Sony hurt themselves short termin the console war to ensure they would win the much more profitable and important hi def DVD format war and that strategy has paid off.
Endgame is going to be Wii in 1st, by a large margin. PS3 will grow slowly as more quality games come to market, price declines and Blu-Ray is the obvious winner.
360 is just a limited system, it will sell about the same number worldwide as the original, which will not be enough to take 2nd place, or remotely anywhere near first.
I see it playing out as Wii, PS3 and 360 in last place.. HALO is not enough, and its all MS has.
I agree.
But, for me, it’s not the platform, IT’S THE GAME and the HALO series is the best thing out there (IMHO).
Like my current X-Box, I’ll gain 10 pounds and lose 8-12 months of my kids lives, but I’m gonna play Halo 3 when the goddamn thing comes out ;)