Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

2008 Democratic Presidential Primary (Rasmussen: Hillary can't break 50% in 2008)
Rasmussen Reports ^ | August 06, 2007 | Rasmussen

Posted on 08/09/2007 12:37:09 AM PDT by tlb

A Clinton nomination will almost certainly yield a competitive general election. While Clinton is very popular among Democrats, overall public opinion is evenly divided--her favorable/unfavorable ratings have been near the 50/50 mark all year. The number who would definitely vote for her in a general election has stayed between 28% and 30%. The number who would definitely vote against has stayed between 46% and 48%.

Absent a major third party candidate, it is hard to envision Clinton attracting less than 45% of the vote. It is equally difficult to envision her reaching the 50% threshold barring a total collapse of the Republican campaign.

That could result in a situation where fringe third party candidates determine the outcome with candidates from the left hurting the Democrats and candidates from the right hurting the GOP. It might also result in a President being elected with less than 50% of the vote for the 4th time in the last five elections.

The competitive nature of a race involving Clinton is highlighted by recent polls showing Republican frontrunners Rudy Giuliani and Fred Thompson each leading Clinton by a statistically insignificant 46% to 45% margin. Clinton edges out Arizona Senator John McCain by two points in the latest polling.

While Obama and former North Carolina Senator John Edwards routinely outperform Clinton in general election match-ups, that does not necessarily mean they would be stronger candidates. It does mean that they are less predictable and at the moment have less people committed to voting against them.

Polling for the first full week in August showed Edwards with 13% of the vote (just nine points behind Obama). New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson, Delaware Senator Joe Biden, and Ohio Congressman Dennis Kucinich each attract support from 3%.

(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; hillary
It worked twice for the Clintons already. 43 % and 49 %.

Perot is retired. Sheehan is aiming at congress, not the presidency. The Ron Paul brigade perhaps spoiling on the right, Nader and Bloomberg probably separately running on the left. Will Pat Buchanan try to elect a democrat yet again? Who else will try to be a kingmaker.

1 posted on 08/09/2007 12:37:12 AM PDT by tlb
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: tlb

Maybe Newt can step in as a third party candidate and save the day for Clinton.


2 posted on 08/09/2007 12:48:17 AM PDT by Jaysun (It's outlandishly inappropriate to suggest that I'm wrong.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tlb

“barring a total collapse of the Republican campaign”

Well, who wants to bet that just four days before the election, the MSM will just happen to dig up some horrific thing about the Republican they will hit at for all their worth?


3 posted on 08/09/2007 12:51:37 AM PDT by I still care ("Remember... for it is the doom of men that they forget" - Merlin, from Excalibur)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tlb

Here’s something that most people don’t see. Due to their own experiences with the social policies of Hillary Clinton and her friends, a large portion of otherwise liberal/leftist men won’t vote for her.


4 posted on 08/09/2007 12:59:02 AM PDT by familyop (cbt. engr. (cbt.)--has-been)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tlb

And BTW, Duncan Hunter for President!


5 posted on 08/09/2007 1:00:37 AM PDT by familyop (cbt. engr. (cbt.)--has-been)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tlb

Hunter tops Thompson - misses NFRA endorsement by 2%
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1878433/posts


6 posted on 08/09/2007 1:01:50 AM PDT by familyop (cbt. engr. (cbt.)--has-been)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: familyop

Yes, but there are a lot of pudin-headed women out there who think Hillary is their champion. Remember men couldn’t stand Bill, but women just swooned all the way in and out of the booth, lighting their cigarette as soon as they got outside the polling station.

I’ll never understand the woman who would readily kill men they know who would act like Bill, but think he’s the sexiest thing on two wheels. “Oh he’s just a cute bad boy.” Idiots.

They’d elect a fifty year old guy with a 14 year old’s labido and common sense to make our national defense decisions. And now they’ll try to elect the first enabler.


7 posted on 08/09/2007 1:41:37 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Victory will never be achieved while defining Conservatism downward, and forsaking it's heritage.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

Comment #8 Removed by Moderator

To: tlb
Who else will try to be a kingmaker.

Image and video hosting by TinyPic

"I'm not through with you yet, FReeper!"

9 posted on 08/09/2007 2:08:53 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: tlb
I forgot to add, there was an FReeper the other day who made a post that with Obama's numbers in a downhill slide, Hillary might consider selecting McCain as a VP candidate.

I don't see that enduring her to the hardcore left, but she might be willing to abandon them in favor of solidifying the center. It'd be a move worthy of Bubbah...

At any rate it made an interesting thought.

10 posted on 08/09/2007 2:11:43 AM PDT by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne
women just swooned all the way in and out of the booth, lighting their cigarette as soon as they got outside the polling station.

LOL! That's gotta be the line of the day!

11 posted on 08/09/2007 2:16:11 AM PDT by guinnessman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: tlb

The Republicans will blow it without help from any third party.

Okay, let me tell y’all how this is gonna go:

She-Who-Must-Not-Be-Named will easily get the democRAT nomination. The day that happens, the Republican National Committee will start running “Bad Hillary” commercials at a rate of ten for every one “Good Rudy (or Ron or Fred or Mitt, etc)” commercial.

The biggest part of the electorate votes for the name they’ve heard most often. Get used to saying “President Clinton” again.


12 posted on 08/09/2007 2:43:48 AM PDT by wolfpat (If you don't like the Patriot Act, you're really gonna hate Sharia Law.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Caipirabob

Don’t count out his gang like Hegel making trouble.


13 posted on 08/09/2007 2:47:22 AM PDT by Nextrush
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne
with a 14 year old’s labido..

It aint the labido that makes Slickster despicable. (heck, most men wish they still HAD a teenage labido)

It's his 13-year old-like lack of responsibility.

Nearly all 13-year olds blame everybody else for everything, and that fits Slickster to a 'T'.

He is a baby in many ways, and Hillary is simply repulsive.

In fact, that is the bumper sticker on my car.

Hillary is repulsive.

14 posted on 08/09/2007 3:03:32 AM PDT by Edit35
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: guinnessman

Yeah, it would be a great line if it weren’t so true. LMAO cause it hurts so good...

You take care.

Thanks.


15 posted on 08/09/2007 4:08:27 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Victory will never be achieved while defining Conservatism downward, and forsaking it's heritage.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 11 | View Replies]

To: MojoWire

I did mention common sense too. I did because Clinton reminded me of a person I know who used to lie when telling the truth would have kept them out of trouble, and the lie would have damned them.

It was impossible for them to be truthful. Lying was second nature to them. I’ve never seen anything quite like it, except Clinton, a grown man.

Yes Clinton did blame everyone else. The guy never took responsiblity for anything. His appologies would go like this. I am sorry for what I did, Ron Brown assured me it was okay.

Your Hillary take is right on also. I say let the good people of New York keep her. She’s too valuable for them to replace.


16 posted on 08/09/2007 4:16:28 AM PDT by DoughtyOne (Victory will never be achieved while defining Conservatism downward, and forsaking it's heritage.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: familyop

When Hunter gets a National poll showing he can beat hidebeast... get back to me. Thompson leads the beast by 1% on Rasmussen’s latest... not bad for a non-candidate!

LLS


17 posted on 08/09/2007 4:37:11 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (Support America, Kill terrorists, Destroy dims!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: tlb

18 posted on 08/09/2007 4:40:24 AM PDT by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: familyop

Bump for Duncan Hunter!


19 posted on 08/09/2007 1:27:57 PM PDT by Califreak (Go Hunter!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson