[Congressman Billybob]

As I posted in detail on the first thread on this subject, IMHO this Complaint is going nowhere. Based on my decades of experience before the FEC and in First Amendment cases in various courts, this Complaint will not survive the first hurdle, which is a "Reason to Believe" letter. This is an official finding by staff that there is reason to believe that the law has been violated.

Absent that finding, a Complaint dies without even going before the Federal Election Commission itself. With such a finding, the FEC is able to act. But since the Commission is equally divided between Repubs and Dems, and must act, if it acts at all, by majority vote, I think the FEC would trash this Complaint if it gets to them.

Whether you are pro-Fred, anti-Fred, or neutral about Fred, this case is going down the dumper.

Congressman Billybob

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[Road Warrior ‘04]

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