Posted on 08/22/2007 1:59:21 PM PDT by WBL 1952
Earlier today, the Italian news service AKI reported that the presumed leader of the largest insurgency in Iraq will start cooperating with the Iraqi government. Izzat Ibrahim al-Douri, one of the highest-ranking members of Saddam Hussein's government, reportedly pledged to work with Iraqi and American forces to fight al-Qaeda in Iraq:
The leader of Iraq's banned Baath party, Izzat Ibrahim al-Douri, has decided to join efforts by the Iraqi authorities to fight al-Qaeda, one of the party's former top officials, Abu Wisam al-Jashaami, told pan-Arab daily Al Hayat. "AlDouri has decided to sever ties with al-Qaeda and sign up to the programme of the national resistance, which includes routing Islamist terrorists and opening up dialogue with the Baghdad government and foreign forces," al-Jashaami said.
Al-Douri has decided to deal directly with US forces in Iraq, according to al-Jashaami. He figures in the 55-card deck of "most wanted" officials from the former Iraqi regime issued by the US government.
In return, for cooperating in the fight against al-Qaeda, al-Douri has asked for guarantees over his men's safety and for an end to Iraqi army attacks on his militias.
Recent weeks have seen a first step in this direction, when Baathist fighters cooperated with Iraqi government forces in hunting down al-Qaeda operatives in the volatile Diyala province and in several districts of the capital, Baghadad.
This could be game, set, and match for the Iraq War. Some smaller insurgent elements assisted in clearing Baqubah as a test to see whether an alliance with Americans would work. Apparently, the experiment worked. If al-Douri accepts the authority of the elected Iraqi government, then almost all of the resistance in western Iraq will disappear -- leaving AQI very exposed.
(Excerpt) Read more at captainsquartersblog.com ...
The leader of Iraq's banned Baath party, Izzat Ibrahim al-Douri, has decided to join efforts by the Iraqi authorities to fight al-Qaeda, one of the party's former top officials, Abu Wisam al-Jashaami, told pan-Arab daily Al Hayat. "AlDouri has decided to sever ties with al-Qaeda and sign up to the programme of the national resistance, which includes routing Islamist terrorists and opening up dialogue with the Baghdad government and foreign forces," al-Jashaami said.
Al-Douri has decided to deal directly with US forces in Iraq, according to al-Jashaami. He figures in the 55-card deck of "most wanted" officials from the former Iraqi regime issued by the US government.
In return, for cooperating in the fight against al-Qaeda, al-Douri has asked for guarantees over his men's safety and for an end to Iraqi army attacks on his militias.
Recent weeks have seen a first step in this direction, when Baathist fighters cooperated with Iraqi government forces in hunting down al-Qaeda operatives in the volatile Diyala province and in several districts of the capital, Baghadad. This could be game, set, and match for the Iraq War. Some smaller insurgent elements assisted in clearing Baqubah as a test to see whether an alliance with Americans would work. Apparently, the experiment worked. If al-Douri accepts the authority of the elected Iraqi government, then almost all of the resistance in western Iraq will disappear -- leaving AQI very exposed.
It seems more than just coincidental that Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki visited the former Ba'athist power base of Tikrit last Thursday. Maliki went to Saddam's hometown, where al-Douri likely has his strongest allies, to meet with the Sunni sheikhs. They gave him a warm welcome, and they pledged to find ways to work with each other. At the same time, he signed an agreement with the Kurds and the Supreme Islamic Iraqi Council, which has been Moqtada al-Sadr's bitter opponent in the south.
Putting all of this together, it looks like Maliki decided to dump Sadr at the beginning of the surge. Sadr fled to Iran for a while, returned to see whether he could weasel his way back into power, and then pulled his deputies from Maliki's government. When it didn't fall, Maliki went to the SIIC to cut a deal with them instead. Once he did that, he brought the Kurds into it and looked for an opening with the Sunnis of Tikrit.
The turning of al-Douri, if true, would indicate that Maliki may have succeeded in marginalizing Sadr and bringing together the rest of the disparate elements of Iraq at least into a relationship where unity could occur. That would not have happened except for the performance of Petraeus and his work in Anbar and Diyala. The surge came as Sunnis had tired of AQI's brutal imposition of Taliban-like rule, and the renewed American effort has given the tribes a reason to unite and to work with the Baghdad government.
Maliki may have taken a huge step towards ending the insurgency while dispensing with Sadr. If so, Congress may hear in September that significant progress has been made both politically and militarily -- and that we can see the light at the end of the tunnel.
UPDATE: Read Michael Yon's latest dispatch to get an idea why even the insurgents prefer the Americans and Maliki. As NZ Bear mentioned on CQ Radio today, Yon notes that AQI makes the best argument for stamping out AQI.
There is another side to the al-Douri story, though, if he does in fact switch teams. The Iraqis have jailed and tried Saddam-era officials with less direct complicity in atrocities than al-Douri, such as Tariq Aziz. Can the King of Clubs simply go free, and if so, how so? The answer will probably be that a pardon will save many more lives and bring healing to Iraq -- all of which would undoubtedly be true. It will provoke some uncomfortable questions about the scope of forgiveness necessary for an Iraqi national reconciliation.
Posted by Ed Morrissey on August 22, 2007 3:00 PM | Comments (3) | TrackBacks (0)
bttt
Another thought: This could explain Bush’s fabulous tough talk at the VFW convention in Kansas City today.
—Can the King of Clubs simply go free, and if so, how so?—
Let him go and hang out with OJ Simpson on Florida golf courses.
This story should lead every national newscast in America tonight.
It won’t.
And, as an aside, it was the bravery and professionalism of the American military in Iraq that brought this about, not the Maliki government.
Excellent! Thanks for posting this!
Didnt we lose that war?
Everyone pray that the Baathists change of sides is real. This could indeed be the defining turning point. Also let’s hope that Maliki prioritizes peace with the Sunnis more than relations to Sadr and Iran.
marking
? Excuse me? al-Douri should be EXECUTED
This is great news, but Im not sure the Baathists are the ones giving us the most problems. However, if the Baathist fighters could fight on our side, then we might be able to start winning and get the heck out of there.
WOW. Absolutely great, if this is for real. Thanks for posting.
pong
Another theory of mine in addition to Bush’s tough VFW talk on surrender today:
Putin has been flexing Russia’s muscles lately. He is probably the 2nd person in the world, after Bush, with information on what is happening in Iraq. Knowing victory for America is at hand and fearing that the euphoria of victory would lead Americans to venture for even greater gains in the region (Iran, etc) he is now sending signals that Moscow is as tough as ever so watch your step America.
Izzat Ibrahim al-Douri sounds like a dead man walking and making promises he can’t keep.
I will continue to follow this story and hope for the best. I would like to be optimistic, but I am not.
I don’t trust Maliki. I hope I am wrong.
“uncomfortable questions about the scope of forgiveness necessary for an Iraqi national reconciliation.”
Slimier deals have been made with bigger slimes than this guy. He is bring an IMMENSE amount to the table. This deal, if true, could be a very big light at the end of the tunnel.
I don’t know how many of you people have sons and nephews over there, but those of us who do, would like to see this thing ended quickly and successfully.
al-Maliki.
Hillary's calling for his resignation, according to CNN.
You don’t execute your new best asset..you merely watch him very carefully.
Great news, thanks for posting. Keeping fingers crossed this is all true, it will be the death of al-Qaeda.
Bump!
well, he’s been dead before, too - last time the chinese said it...
Saddam’s right-hand man dies (Izzat Ibrahim Al-Dhouri)
Xinhuanet ^ | November 11 2005
Posted on 11/11/2005 9:57:46 AM PST by jmc1969
http://209.157.64.201/focus/f-news/1520276/posts?page=1,50
Hillary calling for al-Maliki’s resignation per CNN, reported by NRO
Maybe, maybe not. But if true, the intelligence information alone should be worth the switch.
Ping!
This is the guy who has been committing most of the violence on the Sunni side. And maybe we can finally start putting all of the "Al Qaeda" bullcrap to rest now.
Bumperoonie! Hoping it’s true!
Emperor Hirohito should have been executed too... but he proved to be far more useful to us alive.
Well, perhaps. If leaving him alive is sufficient to effectively stabilize Iraq into something approaching a civilized nation, then it's worth it to leave him alive.
Of course, leaving al-Douri alive also leaves open the possibility that he could take over, and reconstitute Iraq along its former Saddamist lines.
It's a finicky trade ... but it's entirely possible that the preponderance of benefit would come from letting the bastard continue to draw breath.
“While al-Douri is an s.o.b., if he keeps to his word and helps defeat alQuaeda and the insurgency, he should be given a pardon and incorporated back into the government.”
Excuse me?!? Given a pardon? incorporated back into the government.??
Do you know who you’re talking about?
“He had a well-deserved and well-known reputation as a killer. As Vice-Chairman of the Revolutionary Command Council, he was complicit in launching two wars of aggression against Iran and Kuwait, invading Saudi Arabia and attacking the town of Khafji in January 1991. He was involved in the brutal repression of the Uprising which followed the Gulf War in 1991 including mass executions, torture and wanton destruction. He was complicit in the deliberate destruction of the Marsh Arabs’ way of life. He was also complicit in the genocidal Anfal campaigns waged against the Kurds, including chemical weapons attacks, the destruction of rural villages and infrastructure, and mass executions.”
http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/world/iraq/al-douri.htm
I've heard Russia's approach to foreign policy described in terms of chess. What you said is undoubtedly part of Putin's chess strategy ... but they seem to think several moves ahead, and thus there's probably more to it than that.
and Iran?
and Iran?
“If al-Douri accepts the authority of the elected Iraqi government, then almost all of the resistance in western Iraq will disappear — leaving AQI very exposed”
Also leaving the AQI fellow travelers in congress and running for president very exposed.
What will happen to the Democrats then?
Wow! Just think about all those dumbass politicians in Congress, who were criticizing Iraqi politicians for taking the summer off. Looks like that vacation time might have been spent productively after all.
Start?
He's switching sides because we are winning! He likes staying alive and all that.
BTTT
??!?
He’s implicated in gassing the Kurds!
In war you use any asset that will bring you closer to victory. You don’t let emotions dictate how you react to a potential intelligence coup. People who change allegiances in war can be very useful. Don’t execute him because you dislike his previous actions.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus
“the Redhead has come out of hiding”
I thought he had died of skin cancer over a year ago.
I understand that this idea is probably sickening to many of us, but it's something that we're probably going to have to learn to live with.
Of course you'll have to pardon this guy if he's going to work with us. NOT to give him any excuses but he was under the command of Saddam. After the fall of Baghdad he was on the run....I wouldn't have come out and surrendered either, we shot Saddam's kids full of holes and hanged their dad till his head popped off. If this is true it's good news. War is a Bitch then you win. If this helps us win so be it, I don't think this is a "I've sold my soul issue". I'm sure something can be worked out
I’m not as optamistic as you are, but it certainly is a good thing. I don’t have confidence in Maliki, and I’m afraid liberals will make us withdraw too soon to allow the Iraqi military to stand up.
Emotions?? hello???
The Kurds have been our friends and allies. This guy gassed them. I don’t think the Kurds are going to sweep that under the rug, nor should they.
“dislike his previous actions”? He’s guilty of genocide.
We don’t make friends with genocidal monsters. They are put on trial and executed.
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