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A Denier's Confession
Opinion Journal ^ | 28 aug 07 | BRET STEPHENS

Posted on 08/28/2007 3:41:39 AM PDT by rellimpank

The recent discovery by a retired businessman and climate kibitzer named Stephen McIntyre that 1934--and not 1998 or 2006--was the hottest year on record in the U.S. could not have been better timed. August is the month when temperatures are high and the news cycle is slow, leading, inevitably, to profound meditations on global warming. Newsweek performed its journalistic duty two weeks ago with an exposé on what it calls the global warming "denial machine." I hereby perform mine with a denier's confession

I confess: I am prepared to acknowledge that Mr. McIntyre's discovery amounts to what a New York Times reporter calls a "statistically meaningless" rearrangement of data.

(Excerpt) Read more at opinionjournal.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: agw; globalwarming
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1 posted on 08/28/2007 3:41:39 AM PDT by rellimpank
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To: rellimpank
I'm not a big fan of global warming, but it doesn't take a genius to realize that which year was the warmest in the US is not all that significant when you're talking about global warming.
2 posted on 08/28/2007 3:46:09 AM PDT by Brilliant
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To: rellimpank

I thought it was very interesting that we set another record the other day here in Atlanta. What was interesting was that it was not going to set the record and would have broken the streak, but suddenly in the afternoon, the temp shot up from 100 to 104 tying the record. The recorder is at the airport ie Hartsfield. That made my go hmmmm.


3 posted on 08/28/2007 3:54:48 AM PDT by doodad
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To: rellimpank; xcamel
From another paragraph in the article: But as Bjorn Lomborg points out in his sharp, persuasive and aptly titled book “Cool It,” a warming climate has advantages, too, and not just trivial ones. Though global warming will cause more heat deaths, it will also mean many fewer cold deaths. Drought may increase in some areas, but warming also means both more rain and longer growing seasons. Temperature changes will harm some wildlife in some places. But many species will benefit from a bit more warmth. Does anyone know for certain that the net human and environmental losses from global warming will exceed overall gains?

I confess: Denial never solves anything. But neither does sensational and deceptive journalism.

Camel: Has anybody reviewed this “Cool It” here? This is the first time I’ve seen it referenced.

Anywhere. (But of course, Oprah is going to feature it in “her” interviews /sarchasm )

4 posted on 08/28/2007 4:03:07 AM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (I can only donate monthly, but Hillary's ABBCNNBCBS continue to lie every day!)
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To: rellimpank; Killing Time; Beowulf; Mr. Peabody; RW_Whacko; honolulugal; SideoutFred; Ole Okie; ...


FReepmail me to get on or off
Click on POGW graphic for full GW rundown
Dr. John Ray's
GREENIE WATCH



5 posted on 08/28/2007 4:04:41 AM PDT by xcamel (FDT/2008 -- talk about it >> irc://irc.freenode.net/fredthompson)
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To: xcamel

Had a great argument with my wife’s friend last night over this topic, by the time we were through I realized that no amount of logic or fact thrown at these people will make any difference to them at all. Only time will show them the truth, and by then all their passion will be gone so even if we all live long enough to rub their noses into it we will get very little satisfaction.


6 posted on 08/28/2007 4:19:47 AM PDT by Abathar (Proudly posting without reading the article carefully since 2004)
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To: rellimpank
Basic References:

Lawrence Solomon's "The Deniers" (a series of articles on the view of scientists who have been labelled "Global Warming Deniers"):

Other References:

Antarctic Temperature Trend 1982-2004:


This map (left) shows key areas of Antarctica, including the vast East Antarctic ice sheet. The image on the right shows which areas of the continent's ice are thickening (coloured yellow and red) and thinning (coloured blue). © (Left)British Antarctic Survey, (Right)Science

7 posted on 08/28/2007 4:21:01 AM PDT by sourcery (fRed Dawn: Wednesday, 5 November 2008!)
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To: Robert A. Cook, PE

This was the first time I’d heard about it; time to hit Amazon for a new book, LOL!


8 posted on 08/28/2007 4:37:39 AM PDT by alwaysconservative (Yes, we have climate change: it's called WEATHER!)
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To: doodad

When Atlanta was having record hihghs, the NorthEast was having record lows


9 posted on 08/28/2007 5:04:28 AM PDT by Freep EE
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To: rellimpank

bump!


10 posted on 08/28/2007 5:08:14 AM PDT by F-117A (Mr. Bush, have someone read UN Resolution 1244 to you!!!)
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To: rellimpank

The very use of the terms denial and denier to characterize those who might question global warming shows that it has moved from any serious scientific inquiry to become a dogma that cannot be questioned.


11 posted on 08/28/2007 5:53:59 AM PDT by The Great RJ ("Mir we bleiwen wat mir sin" or "We want to remain what we are." ..Luxembourg motto)
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To: doodad

I thought it was very interesting that we set another record the other day here in Atlanta. What was interesting was that it was not going to set the record and would have broken the streak, but suddenly in the afternoon, the temp shot up from 100 to 104 tying the record. The recorder is at the airport ie Hartsfield. That made my go hmmmm.
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

Yeah, I wonder how many of the readings are of the sort exhibited by the digital signs which are so popular at banks and some other businesses around here. Sometimes two come into view at once and there can be as much as 15 degrees difference in the readings.


12 posted on 08/28/2007 6:20:02 AM PDT by RipSawyer (Does anybody still believe this is a free country?)
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To: Brilliant
Sure it does. The US, as is normal in such matters, has about half the weather stations that provide official measurements of temperature.

Sure, they're mostly in the US, but they're also located where we have embassies and military bases abroad.

To a degree not commonly appreciated the rest of the world depends on the US to keep track of how hot it is getting.

So, you ask, don't they look at their own weather stations even though there are fewer of them?

Sure, they do look at them, but in those vast empty areas of the Earth where there are NO STATIONS, the climatologists simply PROXY IN American data from other areas of similar latitude and average rainfall.

Yup, watch the word "PROXY" ~ that's well over half the world in every climatological model. Might even be 90% ~ but I'd have to do a line by line review of the source code.

If American weather stations are screwy, then that makes the whole world screwy.

13 posted on 08/28/2007 7:00:48 AM PDT by muawiyah
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To: RipSawyer

If you’re interested in how the placement of thermometers in urban areas might be skewing the data used by the Man-Made-Up Global Warming crowd, check out Steve McIntyre’s blog here: http://www.climateaudit.com.

There’s a project conducted by volunteers dedicated to auditing the thermometer placement. They were never placed to get a general temperature reading; people originally just needed to know what the temp was at the airport for areonautic purposes. Those data have been “repurposed” and handily show “global” warming. Here is the guy who blogs on this: http://www.norcalblogs.com/watts


14 posted on 08/28/2007 7:03:45 AM PDT by TenthAmendmentChampion (Global warming is to Revelations as the theory of evolution is to Genesis.)
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Comment #15 Removed by Moderator

To: muawiyah

Another dirty little secret of the AGW crowd. What other surprises await us? Will someone reverse engineer the source code that predicts catastrophes and explain it? Does the general public even hear the side of the “deniers”?


16 posted on 08/28/2007 7:13:02 AM PDT by TenthAmendmentChampion (Global warming is to Revelations as the theory of evolution is to Genesis.)
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To: rellimpank
..... Phil Jones of the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, who reportedly turned down one request for information with the remark, "Why should I make the data available to you, when your aim is to try and find something wrong with it?"

This is how we know GW is a hoax.

17 posted on 08/28/2007 8:09:21 AM PDT by Donald Rumsfeld Fan (NY Times: "fake but accurate")
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To: Abathar

“no amount of logic or fact thrown at these (liberal, global warming) people will make any difference to them at all.”

Doesn’t one active FR poster have a tagline that says something like “Don’t bother trying to use logic and fact to move someone from a position he has reached by ignoring logic and fact”?


18 posted on 08/28/2007 8:27:06 AM PDT by flowerplough (Oh, Marge, trying is just the first step toward failure...)
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To: flowerplough
"“Don’t bother trying to use logic and fact to move someone from a position he has reached by ignoring logic and fact”?"

If they do have that tagline then they are 100% correct.

19 posted on 08/28/2007 8:42:16 AM PDT by Abathar (Proudly posting without reading the article carefully since 2004)
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To: Abathar

Never attempt to use logic and reason to dislodge a person from a position they have achieved via pure emotion.

The real threat of the anthropogenic GW (AGW) crowd is NOT their data; it’s the emotional impact of the “wrapper” in which they package it. They’re not “logic-ing” people into belief in thier position; they’re creating a sense of fear and insecurity, then offering direct action (like changing lightbulbs or buying a hybrid car) as a relief valve.

This is no different from any other snake oil sales gimmick. I make you afraid of XYZ, then show you something that, if you believe my very convincing “demonstration”, actually “cures” XYZ. You hand me the money; I give you the bottle of flavored water, and we both go home happy. XYZ never materializes, and you live the rest of your life believing your money was well-wpent, and that my flavored water was the only reason XYZ didn’t kill you.

AGW crowd rhetoric is all right about at that level.


20 posted on 08/28/2007 8:03:55 PM PDT by HKMk23 (Nine out of ten orcs attacking Rohan were Saruman's Uruk-hai, not Sauron's! So, why invade Mordor?)
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