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Why Gaza is fertile groundfor angry young men
Financial Times UK ^ | Published: June 14 2007 | By Gunnar Heinsohn

Posted on 09/01/2007 5:31:37 PM PDT by Fred Nerks

On September 11 2005, Israel left the Gaza Strip. The next day, four synagogues went up in flames. A cheering alliance of young men from Hamas and Fatah hailed these desecrations as bonfires celebrating the future of an independent Palestine.

Eighteen months later, fighters from the two organisations were still co-operating in attacks on their hated neighbour. By June 2007 their Kassam missiles had killed 11 Israelis. In that same period, some 600 Palestinians became victims of internecine warfare. Thousands more were wounded and half the population traumatised by a relentless chain of revenge slayings. Hidden behind masks, even brothers were at each other's throats.

Who is to blame for all this violence and conflict? There are many answers to that, but it is interesting to note that Ahmed Youssef, a top Hamas man and political adviser to Ismail Haniya, the Palestinian prime minister, does not blame Gaza's troubles on either "the Jews" or the lack of religious faith among his secular opponents in Fatah. In May 2007 he told Cairo's Al Ahram newspaper that the main problem was the inability of both Fatah and Hamas "to control their men in the streets".

But why has violence exploded out of control in a culture where obedience is an uncontested virtue? The answer lies in a different kind of explosion.

Gaza has been overwhelmed by a demographic boom that shows no sign of abating. Between 1950 and 2007, its population has jumped from 240,000 to nearly 1.5m. How was such rapid growth possible in a small territory that has no economy to speak of?

This extraordinary achievement was accomplished by the United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East. UNRWA - in accordance with international law - treats every resident of Gaza as a refugee. It provides housing, schooling and medication for every newborn - whether a first child or a 10th sibling.

As a result of UNRWA's policies and programmes, a Jewish majority in Israel and the territories has been turned into a minority. In the over-60 age bracket, Jews enjoy a three to one lead in population. But they lose ground in the younger generations that will wage the wars of the coming decades. In 2005 there were 640,000 Jewish boys under 15, against 1.1m in the Arab sector. Many young Jews are their families' only sons, who concentrate on future vocations. However, more than two-thirds of the Arab boys are second, third and even fourth brothers. Neither their fathers nor UNRWA will leave them any property or prepare them for a decent place in life.

Mr Haniya, for example, was born in 1962 and brought up by western aid money. He is the father of 13 children. In Mr Haniya's age bracket of 45 to 59 years, Gaza, in 2007, has 46,000 men. In the age bracket 0 to 14 years, there are 343,000 boys. In the US, every 1,000 men in the age bracket 45 to 49 are followed by only 945 boys in the age bracket 0 to 4. For Israeli Jews, the ratio is about 1,000 to 1,500. In Gaza, however, every 1,000 men from 45 to 49 are followed by nearly 6,200 boys from 0 to 4.

Had the people of the US multiplied at the same rate as the people of Gaza, the US would have gone from a population of 152m in 1950 to 945m in 2007, more than triple the size of its current population of 301m. It would be home not to 31m males between the traditional fighting age of 15 and 29, but to 120m. Faced with such a population explosion, would America's politicians and cultural organisations be able "to control their men in the streets"?

Over the next 15 years many more angry young males will roam the streets of Palestine, because of a birth defect of the Arafat-Rabin peace process. A western promise to support all children already born but to cut from international welfare Palestinian children born after 1992, and, simultaneously, to stop new Israeli settlements, should have been the first step of the Oslo process. As in Algeria or Tunisia, where total fertility fell from 7 to below 2 and where terror has ceased, Gaza, in 2007, would have seen nearly all of its boys turning 15 as only sons. They would have had little incentive to kill their own people or Israelis. Yet today Gaza's total fertility is still close to 6. This demographic armament will continue to provide large numbers of young men who have no prospects for employment and no place in society, and whose only hope is to fight for one.

The writer is the director of Raphael-Lemkin-Institut at the University of Bremen, Europe's first institute devoted to comparative genocide research. He is the author of Sons and World Power: Terror in the Rise and Fall of Nations (Söhne und Weltmacht)


TOPICS: Israel; Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: arabs; gaza; israel; unrwa
Boys will be boys and islam's got nothing to do with it?
1 posted on 09/01/2007 5:31:47 PM PDT by Fred Nerks
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To: Fred Nerks

“Gaza has been overwhelmed by a demographic boom that shows no sign of abating. Between 1950 and 2007, its population has jumped from 240,000 to nearly 1.5m. How was such rapid growth possible in a small territory that has no economy to speak of?”

The answer may be they are ficitional UN welfare stats to boost NGO allotments, etc.


2 posted on 09/01/2007 5:39:53 PM PDT by Shermy
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To: Fred Nerks
Gaza is one big welfare-state "inner city", with all the pathologies associated with that status

If the Palestinian women needed men who actually earned a real paycheck in a real job in order to feed their children, the craziness would stop real fast

3 posted on 09/01/2007 5:46:42 PM PDT by SauronOfMordor (Open Season rocks http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ymLJz3N8ayI)
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To: SauronOfMordor
from the article:

Faced with such a population explosion, would America's politicians and cultural organisations be able "to control their men in the streets"?

probably not, if 'the men in the streets' were all muslims living on welfare...and controlled by islamofascist politicians and clerics!

4 posted on 09/01/2007 6:12:47 PM PDT by Fred Nerks (Fair dinkum!)
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To: Fred Nerks

Because the so-called Palestians raise their children to be psychopathic killers from the time they’re two?


5 posted on 09/01/2007 6:41:10 PM PDT by Maceman
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To: SauronOfMordor

If they had work to feed their families, the family making would cease that night - since there is no work.
If there is no food, even Islam says one can in those circumstances use family planning.


6 posted on 09/01/2007 8:19:51 PM PDT by tbw2 (Science fiction with real science - "Humanity's Edge" by Tamara Wilhite)
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To: tbw2
If they had work to feed their families, the family making would cease that night - since there is no work.

I disagree that there is no work -- it's more that there is no interest in work, or in creating jobs, or in ensuring a stable environment in which jobs could be created.

If survival depended on work, then the Palestinian people would rise up and kill off those who demand eternal war with Israel, make real peace, and get to work

7 posted on 09/02/2007 5:10:29 AM PDT by SauronOfMordor (Open Season rocks http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ymLJz3N8ayI)
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To: Shermy

> The answer may be they are ficitional UN welfare stats to boost NGO allotments, etc.

Yes, there has been ample proof that many of the Arab families double or triple count their children to get extra welfare.

> As a result of UNRWA’s policies and programmes, a Jewish majority in Israel and the territories has been turned into a minority

That is a pure fabrication. Even looking at the inflated numbers for Arabs that the UNRWA and other groups toss around, there are far more Jews than non-Jews inside the borders of “Greater Israel”.

When the numbers are adjusted to eliminate double-counting and other fraud, the demographic situation is even more pro-Jew.


8 posted on 09/02/2007 5:37:31 AM PDT by Mr170IQ
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To: Fred Nerks

Midnight basketball is expressly forbidden by the Koran.


9 posted on 09/02/2007 5:38:37 AM PDT by Tijeras_Slim
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To: dennisw; Cachelot; Nix 2; veronica; Catspaw; knighthawk; Alouette; Optimist; weikel; Lent; GregB; ..
If you'd like to be on this middle east/political ping list, please FR mail me.

High Volume. Articles on Israel can also be found by clicking on the Topic or Keyword Israel. or WOT [War on Terror]

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10 posted on 09/03/2007 3:12:16 PM PDT by SJackson (isolationism never was, never will be acceptable response to[expansionist] tyrannical governments)
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To: Fred Nerks
It seems no depth of cruelty is too deep for the compassion crowd, as long as they can feel like good people in the comfort of their homes far from the wreckage they create.

Not content with having destroyed the structure of African-American families with the Great Society programs, "liberals" inflict their self-serving schemes on peoples throughout the world.

11 posted on 09/04/2007 1:17:09 PM PDT by SupplySider
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