The "straw polls" being run at the annual dinners of the Shrimpin', trolleymeister, bus subsidy, antiwar antiAmerican lobbies are not significant. Voting that chooses delegates is.
You do realize that 4% is not a majority or even a plurality, right???
Sure...but it represents dramatic progress over less than one percent not so long. The trend is consistently on the upswing. Will it continue? Nobody can tell right now. Please note that Kerry was also at 4 percent at this time in 2003 yet won the nomination.
Come to think of 24 percent (Fred's current standing) isn't much of a "majority" or even plurality either. This race is still wide openg and after Fred's fumbling in Michigan even more so. It is a perfect storm of fragmentation which can only benefit folks in the lower tier (especially Paul and Huckabee).