[preacher]

I realize that this in a NH poll only. However, how come Fred leads in the Rasmussen poll & most other polls rate him low?

Is the Rasmussen poll wrong or do the others have a Liberal slant?

[Owen]

Thompson’s bounce is gone and he’s not cracking the top in the places where delegates are earned. Funding is going to dry up as a result. This is why we’re hearing less from him. No money.

It is money that defines inevitability. FR needs to get very serious about what has to be done to stop Guilliani after Thompson fades away.

[Doofer]

I realize that this in a NH poll only. However, how come Fred leads in the Rasmussen poll & most other polls rate him low?

Is the Rasmussen poll wrong or do the others have a Liberal slant?

The simple answer is that Rasmussen's numbers come from those he feels, because of the screening process he uses, are likely to vote were as the other polls are taken from registered voters whether or not these voters are likely participate in the primary process.

Having said that as we get closer to the primaries the other pollsters will begin tightening up their screening and their numbers will start to reflect Rasmussen's numbers if the previous election cycle or two are indicators.

[ellery]

I haven’t researched the polls exhaustively (at this point I don’t believe the polls are overly meaningful). However, I have noticed that Thompson’s numbers tend to be lower in polls that include Gingrich, and higher and polls that don’t.

[kevkrom]

I realize that this in a NH poll only. However, how come Fred leads in the Rasmussen poll & most other polls rate him low? Is the Rasmussen poll wrong or do the others have a Liberal slant?

Different "likely voter" models. Until votes are cast, no one knows who's "right", however an analysis of trends within each of the polling service shows Thompson improving nationally at the expense of Guiliani, and Romney and McCain sitting mostly stagnant well behind them.