Posted on 10/10/2007 5:00:48 AM PDT by chessplayer
Federal forecasters say La Niña has arrived. That could mean still more storms this hurricane season.
The La Niña weather system, created by a cooling of the eastern Pacific Ocean, reduces wind shear. That helps storms to build.
(Excerpt) Read more at wesh.com ...
Translation: We've severely undercalled the number of hurricanes two years in a row...so here's next year's reason to panic and somehow find a way to promote global warming.
kidd's prediction: La Nina will be over by July 2008 and the hurricane season will be largely unaffected by La Nina.
kidd's next prediction: The term "climate change" will be replaced by "climate uncertainty"
“And remember how last year was going to be one of the worst ever? Nothing.”
Was`nt quite nothing. Last year was a normal season.
Translation: We've severely undercalled the number of hurricanes two years in a row...so here's next year's reason to panic and somehow find a way to promote global warming.
kidd's prediction: La Nina will be over by July 2008 and the hurricane season will be largely unaffected by La Nina.
kidd's next prediction: The term "climate change" will be replaced by "climate uncertainty"
“Was`nt quite nothing. Last year was a normal season.”
Not even close... very light.
“The season was unusual in that no hurricanes made landfall in the United States of America, the first such occurrence since 2001.”
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_Atlantic_hurricane_season
Already?? But I only heard the confirmation that JLo was pregnant this morning! And it was Las Ninas, actually, because it's dos chicas, and . . .
What? the weather? Oh, that's completely different.
Nevermind.
I infer you are tyring to imply their forecast was not far off. I would counter that the naming of 2 sub-tropical systems (IIRC) made them look better than actual, AND that the total storm-days was less than last year, per storm. Just a guess on that last part.
NET: They over-estimated the number, intensity and impact of the storm season, again. Their models need work ;-)
p.s. my dad, a 1940’s-era military-educated meteorologist, has correctly called the storm season so far. hmmmmmm
Maybe, but what good is that?
We're not looking for accuracy, we're looking for loyalty to, and promotion of the CAUSE.
Now, if your dad came out and said that the REASON we're having a sub-par number of storms is GW, then we might have something.
Until that happens.... Forget it.
;->
They’ve correctly predicted 25 out of the last 3 hurricanes.
Here is what constitutes an average/normal season;
“On average, the north Atlantic hurricane season produces 11 named storms, with six becoming hurricanes, including two major hurricanes.”
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2006/s2634.htm
Ah, but the trick is we are not supposed to be having normal right now. “Global Warming” is supposed to be kicking in and hurricanes are supposed to be pummeling the United States week after week.
As far as hurricanes hitting the US, last year was below normal. But for the storms themselves, it was near normal.
http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/hurricanes/archives/2006/normal_2006.html
I am hoping that this means a good old fashioned winter for us folks in Montana. It has been a while since we have had one. :-)
It has been trivial for the US.
Sorry, I was talking about storms that actually hit the U.S. You are correct, the season was normal...however the prediction was for higher than normal activity.
I goofed and posted last years forecast. Here is the forecast for this season;
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2007/20071009_outlook.html
The Accuweather long range forecast for winter 2007-08 seems to be the direct opposite of the NOAA forecast last week. Or am I missing something?
They only existed with insurance companies who raised rates 100+% for those of us living in hurricane areas.
The forecasters only announced this for one reason. They want everyone to panic
Only panicked insurance underwriters and oil futures traders.
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