I think that’s a reasonable assumption, that TPTB will make civilian-legal ammo with a max shelf life. It would be easy to do, we already do it with our new land mines.
Of course, that means mere civilians won’t be allowed to buy milsurp, due to its generations long shelf life.
More reason to BLOAT. Ammo might seem expensive today compared to years past, but it might simply be unavailable at any price in years to come.
I need to make a regular monthly contribution to the ammo stocks around the house. I was able to find a box of 1000 small pistol primers today to help restock. The prices keep going up 10 to 25% every quarter. I'm more than a little concerned to see empty shelves where a good stock of primers should be. We obviously have a manufacturing capacity problem. Just think what would happen if we had a large scale shooting war. Something of the intensity of the initial assault against Iraq in 2003, but ongoing.