[2ndDivisionVet]

Fred Thompson winning Iowa or coming in a strong second would sink the S.S. Romney like that iceberg in that movie. Mitt won't win South Carolina or Florida, so the only win he'd get would be the tiny state of New Hampshire, if that. Did everyone notice Congressman Hunter at 1% behind Ross Per...uh, Ron Paul?

[Goodness]

I wonder how much each “Likely Caucus Participant” is costing Mitt?

[Dante3]

We can look at the same data and come to a different conclusion. While my top choices are Tancredo/Hunter/Thompson, at this moment I see Romney as the front runner due to several smart moves he has made. If I were forced to bet, I’d say it will be Romney/Thompson. I cannot see either Rudy, who is too much like Hillary and too pro illegal aliens, or McCain, who is too creepy and unstable, as winning.

[jmyrlefuller]

I think Hunter has laid foot in Iowa all of once, and that was back for a few minutes to participate in the Ames debate.

[iowamark]

When only those who were absolutely certain they would vote, Romney attracts 24% support and leads [Thompson] by two.

In other words, Fred and Romney are tied in Iowa.