What’s really interesting from the RCP pole is that Thompson and McCain’s poll numbers are tracking each other, which would indicate they are pulling from the same voter base so hopefully a McCain withdrawal goes directly to Fred.
What I see in the RCP poll is Romney and McCain trading from each other. Maybe Huckabee picking up from Thompson.
Again,I think if Huckabee does very well in Iowa, you’ll see a lot of Romney support quickly evaporate. McCain will probably not do very well in Iowa, so his support goes somewhere else as well.