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To: o_zarkman44

Ah - no problem. My house is about 1/4 mile from the Hayward fault. If it happens - it happens.

Been there/done that. I’ve lived through the 70 Sylmar quake and Loma Preitta.

Interestingly (and luckily) - the average death tool in CA for the three big quakes that have happened in my life time in populated areas is around 65. In a city of 10 million people - not bad odds.


20 posted on 10/31/2007 9:32:58 PM PDT by fremont_steve (Milpitas - a great place to be FROM!)
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To: fremont_steve
I'd expect to see much more serve problems with liquifaction and severe shaking due to the soft soil underlying much of Fremont, Hayward and Oakland.

This has a good chance of a being the worst earthquake you've ever felt, with a far greater damage and loss of life than the others you've felt.

See further Earthquake San Jose, CA - FR Post #104

On the other hand, the biggest quake in recent times along this fault was in the Hayward area, and perhaps the greatest slip deficit (accumulated stresses) is a bit north now, in the Oakland/Berkeley area. See further The accumulation of interseismic strain along the Hayward fault.

Here's an estimate of the shaking in the 1868 quake, from New ShakeMaps for the 1868 Hayward Earthquake:

ShakeMap Legend

ShakeMap Legend

Be grateful you were not along the low lands of the East Bay between Fremont and Hayward in 1868.

29 posted on 11/01/2007 12:56:55 AM PDT by ThePythonicCow (The Greens and Reds steal in fear of freedom and capitalism; Fear arising from a lack of Faith.)
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