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ping!
We have an ideological struggle going on as reflected by the variety of positions represented by our candidates. OTOH, the democrat field is entirely socialist, if not downright Stalinist. The races are close enough they can go either way for the Republican candidates.
What I find particularly devastating for the Hillary camp is that roughly 50% of the nation will never even consider voting for the little commie.
We're going to see some pretty foul maneuvers coming from their camp come the end of summer.
National polls do not seem useful except to sway potential primary voters. The nomination is a primary battle. Influencing primary voters is different than influencing the public and general elections.
The Republican party is split so I am not optimistic about electing any candidate. I think that Rudy will be nominee but he will split the party. FDT can unify the party and win in November but I doubt that he will be nominated. He does not seem to have the local organization to win key primaries. Perhaps he also lacks money.
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“but do not yet support Thompson”
The honeymoon is over with Thompson. I’m glad to say I was never enamored.
But, but...Mitt has spent millions of dollars of his own money to buy, er, garner support from the sheeple, uh, people of the United States! How is this possible?!! How can Fred be running neck and neck with Rudy: “one of the most famous Americans in the world”?
Fred doesn’t have to spend tons of cash, he just needs to get his message through to the folks, like his plans to stem illegal immigration: http://www.fred08.com/virtual/Immigration.aspx
The nomination of Rudy will blow the Republican Party apart. Fred is the only candidate who can unite all of the various factions. Fred can defeat the Bi!ch and I believe he will have coattails, especially in those Red States that lost Pubbie Congressmen in normally Republican Districts in 2006.
Fred showed great patience in entering the race at his own time, on his own terms. Once the other lower tier candidates start dropping out and McCain as well, those numbers are going to change radically. Thompson is looking like the one that can knock Rudy out of the primaries. I'm still holding out hope that Duncan Hunter can pull off a miracle - but I have no objection whatsoever - to voting for Fred if Hunter isn't able to pull up in the polls.
I won't waste my vote come primary time on someone that can't win - soon, some of us will have to make a tough decision. Will we hold out for the best candidate even if we know he won't get enough votes to beat Rudy? Or will we once again have to compromise and vote for the candidate that can beat the liberals - Hillary! & Rudy! A race between those two will be our worst nightmare & we need to do everything to keep that from happening.
Fred can unite the party.
I would tend to think that as the 2nd tier conservative candidates drop out the majority of their support will go to Thompson while most of McCain’s support would go to Guliani. I would gather that we’re looking at a Guliani-Thompson battle. Then when Huckabee drops out the majority of his support would go to Thompson. But hey whatdoiknow. LOL!
Odd.
Ping!
11/03/07
Fred 17%
Rudy 21%
Total 39%
Mitt 12%
Juan 15%
Mike 12%
Total 39%
Remainder? 22%
Other Candidates come to about 5%
Undecided is at about 17%, a tie for second place.
In other words, we, as I have said before, are waiting for the low level candidates to drop. Since they are very conservative candidates it is unlikely they will go for Mitt or Juan. Maybe about 1% for Mike.
That puts Fred dead even with Rudith. As the undecided fall into place I expect half of them to link with Fred. They are finding out more each day about Rudith. The other half will spread out to the other candidates.
Result…
Fred at 32%
Rudy at 26%
Mitt 12%
Juan 15%
Mike 12%
Total at 97% with 3% for “variables”
Since last month, Fred in this poll went from 32% to 26%,
and Romney went from 9% to 17%. Rudy is basically flat at around 30%.
Oct. 2007
Sept. 2007
Aug. 2007
Rudy Giuliani 31%
28%
30%
Fred Thompson
26%
32%
27%
Mitt Romney
17%
9%
11%
There is one possibility that few people are looking at these days, with all the hype about Hillary and Osama, er Obama. That is the very real and extremely likely possibility that John Edwards is going to win the nomination. Remember, all Presidents so far have been white men, and I wouldn't bet on that changing any time son. We are wasting a lot of time trying to pre-defeat Hillary, when it will be done by the Democrats anyway. So we nominate Rudy, because he has the best chance to defeat someone who won't be running anyway.
“387 self identified Republicans”
My guess is some of these may be covert Dems.
I believe that Rudy will lose the support of most conservatives when they learn about his “sanctuary city” of New York. It certainly turns me off.
As much as a like the result of Thompson staying up near the top, the methodology on this poll is too poor to warrant paying much attention to — adults, rather than registered or likely voters, and online interviews, which introduces additional levels of self-selection biasing.