AQ is losing out on balance in Iraq and is making great inroads in Pakistan thus the current unpleasantness there. Consider AQ or its Islamic allies in control of Pakistan's nukes. Is AQ Losing? Not yet and AQ is on the verge of suddenly getting immensely stronger.
I pray that, if the Islamists grab off Pakistan, India will have an immediate Israeli moment and take out Pak's nukes.
It does seem that lately the glaring eyes have turned their sights elsewhere...to Pakistan.