On the other hand, you could, deep down, really know that there's a reason it's been stuck at that price for roughly 4 months now.
That’s what I like about this market as an indicator. Money talks.
Note that Fred is at 6%, so he could be a “bargain” but you might want to read why the Intrade crowd thinks he is at 6%.
Intrade forum discussion
http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/1805.page