[kevkrom]

I thought we were supposed to ignore polls and vote our consciences? Now, all of a sudden you find a couple of polls you like and we’re supposed to react like Pavlov’s dogs?

[pissant]

Well, That has always been the reason Fredheads gave me for not supporting Hunter. Let’s give Hunter a ride in the polls, and watch him squash Rudy McRombee.

[Kevmo]

Vote your conscience in either case.

[deport]

Polls are what they are, a snapshot in time. Some get in and rise/fall. Others get in and pretty much stay stagnant. Here's a few polls over the past couple of weeks.

There are 50 days until the caucuses in Iowa begin. The straglers aren't going to rise to the top in that short period of time no matter how much anyone hopes for that to happen. The Republican primary voters aren't given to large swings such as you'll see quoted about Kerry, Clinton, Carter, etc .

The most consistent thing about these polls is that Giuliani is holding the top spot and not faultering..... You'd think it was Thompson based upon all the wailing and knashing of teeth portrayed on this forum by some.

---

Associated Press-Ipsos poll conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs. Nov. 5-7, 2007. N=361 Republicans and leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.2.

					.
"If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"
					.
		11/5-7/07	10/1-3/07
		%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	29	25
	Fred Thompson	19	22
	John McCain	13	12
	Mitt Romney	12	9
	Mike Huckabee	10	7
	Other (vol.)	2	-
	None (vol.)	7	9
	Unsure	8	8
	Newt Gingrich	n/a	7
	Sam Brownback	n/a	1
NBC News/Wall Street Journal Poll conducted by the polling organizations of Peter Hart (D) and Bill McInturff (R). Nov. 1-5, 2007. Asked of Republicans, and non-Republicans who said they would vote in a Republican presidential primary (from a total sample of 1,509 adults nationwide). MoE ± 4.2.
					.
"Let me mention some people who might seek the Republican nomination for president in 2008. If the next Republican primary for president were being held today, for which one of the following candidates would you vote . . . ?" If unsure: "Well, which way do you lean?"
					.
		11/1-5/07	9/28-30/07	9/7-10/07
		%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	33	30	32
	John McCain	16	15	14
	Fred Thompson	15	23	26
	Mitt Romney	11	10	11
	Mike Huckabee	8	4	4
	Ron Paul	4	2	2
	Duncan Hunter	2	1	1
	Tom Tancredo	2	1	1
	Other (vol.)	1	1	n/a
	None (vol.)	1	2	2
	Unsure	7	10	6
	Sam Brownback	n/a	1	1
					.
USA Today/Gallup Poll. Nov. 2-4, 2007. N=430 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.
					.
"Next, I'm going to read a list of people who may be running in the Republican primary for president in the next election. After I read all the names, please tell me which of those candidates you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2008, or if you would support someone else. . . ." Names rotated. Results from 9/07 & earlier calculated using second choice of Gingrich supporters.
		11/2-4/07	10/12-14/07	10/4-7/07
		%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	34	32	32
	John McCain	18	14	16
	Fred Thompson	17	18	20
	Mitt Romney	14	10	9
	Mike Huckabee	6	6	7
	Ron Paul	1	5	2
	Duncan Hunter	1	1	1
	Tom Tancredo	-	2	1
	Someone else	1	2	1
	None (vol.)/Unsure	9	9	11
	Sam Brownback	n/a	2	1
CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll. Nov. 2-4, 2007. N=397 registered voters nationwide who are Republicans or lean Republican. MoE ± 5.
					.
"Please tell me which of the following people you would be most likely to support for the Republican nomination for president in the year 2008. . . ." Names rotated. Results from 9/07 & earlier calculated using second choice of Gingrich supporters.
					.
		11/2-4/07	10/12-14/07	9/7-9/07	8/6-8/07
		%	%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	28	27	28	29
	Fred Thompson	19	19	27	22
	John McCain	16	17	15	16
	Mitt Romney	11	13	11	12
	Mike Huckabee	10	5	5	3
	Ron Paul	5	2	1	2
	Duncan Hunter	4	3	1	-
	Tom Tancredo	3	1	2	2
	Unsure	5	11	8	10
	Sam Brownback	n/a	1	2	3
	Tommy Thompson	n/a	n/a	n/a	1
Newsweek Poll conducted by Princeton Survey Research Associates International. Oct. 31-Nov. 1, 2007. N=430 registered Republicans and leaners nationwide. MoE ± 6.
					.
"Now I’m going to name eight Republican presidential candidates. After I read all the names, tell me which ONE you would most like to see nominated as the Republican Party’s presidential candidate in 2008. The choices are [see below]?" Names rotated
					.
		10/31 - 11/1/07	8/1-2/07	6/20-21/07
		%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	30	30	27
	Fred Thompson	15	22	19
	John McCain	14	13	15
	Mitt Romney	12	10	12
	Mike Huckabee	7	2	4
	Ron Paul	3	2	2
	Duncan Hunter	2	1	-
	Tom Tancredo	-	1	1
	Other	-	2	1
	None/No preference	6	5	5
	Unsure	11	10	8
	Sam Brownback	n/a	1	2
	Tommy Thompson	n/a	1	2
	Michael Bloomberg	n/a	n/a	2
	Jim Gilmore	n/a	n/a	-
ABC News/Washington Post Poll. Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2007. N=436 Republicans and leaners nationwide. MoE ± 4.5. Fieldwork by TNS.
					.
"If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?" Names rotated. Includes leaners. For 9/07 and earlier, includes second choices of Gingrich supporters.
					.
		10/29 - 11/1/07	9/27-30/07
		%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	33	34
	John McCain	19	12
	Fred Thompson	16	17
	Mitt Romney	11	11
	Mike Huckabee	9	8
	Ron Paul	3	3
	Duncan Hunter	2	2
	Tom Tancredo	1	1
	None of these (vol.)	4	4
	Wouldn't vote (vol.)	-	1
	Unsure	3	8
	Sam Brownback	n/a	1
WNBC/Marist Poll. Oct. 29-Nov. 1, 2007. N=306 Republicans and Republican leaners nationwide. MoE ± 5.5..
					.
"If the 2008 Republican presidential primary were held today, whom would you support if the candidates are [see below]?"
					.
		10/29 - 11/1/07
		%
	Rudy Giuliani	30
	John McCain	17
	Mitt Romney	13
	Fred Thompson	12
	Mike Huckabee	5
	Ron Paul	2
	Duncan Hunter	1
	Tom Tancredo	-
	Unsure	20
Quinnipiac University Poll. Oct. 23-29, 2007. N=678 registered Republicans nationwide. MoE ± 3.8.
					.
"If the 2008 Republican primary for president were being held today, and the candidates were [see below], for whom would you vote?"
					.
		10/23-29/07	8/7-13/07	6/5-11/07	4/25 - 5/1/07	2/13-19/07
		%	%	%	%	%
	Rudy Giuliani	27	28	27	27	40
	Fred Thompson	17	12	15	14	n/a
	Mitt Romney	14	15	10	8	7
	John McCain	13	11	15	19	18
	Mike Huckabee	6	2	2	2	2
	Ron Paul	2	2	1	-	1
	Duncan Hunter	1	1	1	1	2
	Tom Tancredo	1	1	1	-	1
	Other (vol.)	1	3	2	2	1
	Wouldn't vote (vol.)	1	2	1	1	-
	Unsure	15	16	17	16	15
	Newt Gingrich	n/a	7	5	8	10
	Sam Brownback	n/a	1	1	1	1
	Tommy Thompson	n/a	1	1	1	1
	Jim Gilmore	n/a	-	-	-	-
	George Pataki	n/a	n/a	n/a	1	1
	Chuck Hagel	n/a	n/a	n/a	-	-
FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll. Oct. 23-24, 2007. N=303 Republican voters nationwide. MoE ± 6.
					.
"If the 2008 Republican presidential primary were held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were [see below]?" Names rotated
					.
		10/23-24/07
		%
	Rudy Giuliani	31
	Fred Thompson	17
	John McCain	12
	Mitt Romney	7
	Mike Huckabee	5
	Duncan Hunter	3
	Tom Tancredo	2
	Ron Paul	1
	Other (vol.)	2
	Unsure	16
	Wouldn't vote (vol.)	4

---

And More: http://www.pollingreport.com/wh08rep.htm

[be-baw]

The premise behind most of these polls is that Iowa, New Hampshire et al will set the tone for the rest of the campaign.

It won't be over until Super Duper Tuesday folks!