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It does mention SC. Fred has the lead.

My apologies, I only read the excerpt.

Either way, I see significant blocks of delegates being picked up by five candidates (Giuliani, Thompson, Romney, McCain and Huckabee), depending on state rules for delegate allotment. With a 15% threshold, for instance, McCain will probably get some in New Hampshire and Arizona. Giuliani will do well in the despondent Northeast and California. Romney will do well in Mormon states and states with family ties (e.g. Michigan and Mass.)Thompson will do well in the south and okay in the midwest and mountain area. Huckabee will get chunks of delegates from several southern states and maybe more if he surprises in Iowa.

This is a recipe for the late primaries (especially PA) becoming more important, and maybe even a brokered convention.

Plenty of time to change the dynamics, and put Hunter into the top tier. People will peel off big time from the moderates and support Hunter. It’s already happening.

“Either way, I see significant blocks of delegates being picked up by five candidates (Giuliani, Thompson, Romney, McCain and Huckabee), depending on state rules for delegate allotment.”

Which, unfortunately, means Giuliani will probably win by default. It’s time to start thinning the herd. Preferably, given that several will not be participating in the next debate, they will start thinning themselves and endorsing candidates OTHER than Giuliani.