You SHOULD owe . If you get something back, you let the government play with your $$$$ for nothing .
I have never got a refund, only when getting combat pay back in the 60’s and 70’s.
Of course with deficit spending they play with money that not don’t they have it doesn’t even exist. In a perfect world I’d like them to owe me $1 every year, just because I hate writing them a check. Of course the world isn’t perfect, in reality I seem to have a choice of owing them 1 paycheck or having them owe me 2, having gone through bad times in spring under both scenarios I prefer the later.