Which is exactly why I give all these polls ZERO consideration.
“and Republican-leaning independents “
TRANSLATION: Liberal Dems who would LOVE to see JulieAnnie on the Republican Ticket even though they have no intention of voting for him. Just having him there is assurance that if Hilldebeast doesn’t make it, another lib will.
The national polls are interesting, but the only ones that really matter right now are the early primary states. If the current polls hold, Romney wins Iowa and New Hampshire, then we'll see what happens in South Carolina where polls seem to be all over the map. Beyond SC, Rudy leads in Florida, Nevada and Michigan, California, PA, and New Jersey, but Romney is close in a few of those states. He'll need to pick off at least a couple to reverse Rudy's momentum.
100% correct.
Exactly. There are 'way too many variables right now to predict anything with any hint of certainty. That's why I base my support on the candidate's positions instead of how I can blurrily guestimate their electability. With so many candidates and so many undecided, unless/until the frontrunner consistently polls above 51 percent the race looks wide open to me.
The good news is, that's the truth if my candidate is down. The bad news is, it's still true when he's up. Time will tell. :)
You don’t understand. That is the only sample that matters for this poll. Only registered Republicans can vote the Republican ticket for the primary in most states.