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1 posted on 11/17/2007 2:41:56 PM PST by Clintonfatigued
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To: neverdem; fieldmarshaldj; LdSentinal; Kuksool; Norman Bates; Mister Politics; ...

This is a legitimate worry, but the district that Tom Reynolds represents ins’t overwhelmingly Republican. And Maziarz might even be a stronger Congressional candidate than Reynolds is.


2 posted on 11/17/2007 2:44:55 PM PST by Clintonfatigued (You can't be serious about national security unless you're serious about border security)
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To: Clintonfatigued
The list of potential loses keeps piling up, friends.

Its piling up so fast you need wings to stay above it, and thats damn near what we are going to need in 08 to avert a complete disaster.

Sorry, I am not an optimist, and I will not whistle past the graveyard that the 08 races may become.
We have a lot of work to do.

4 posted on 11/17/2007 2:55:30 PM PST by bill1952 ("all that we do is done with an eye towards something else." - Aristotle)
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To: Clintonfatigued
This isn't a legitimate worry:

1. Reynolds' seat is pretty solidly Republican. He was for a while endangered in 2006, but only because he was accused of covering up Mark Foley's pedophilia, something that would hurt any politician anywhere. Replacing him with an undamaged Pubbie would eliminate any lingering ill-feeling.

2. The NY State Senate isn't about to go Dem. While that was a definite danger a few months ago, there has been a huge swing back from the Dems in recent months. Spitzer is now incredibly unpopular, and former Dem rising stars are now struggling to hold on, both upstate and on Long Island. Two weeks ago, we did super well in county elections Nassau (Long Island) and Erie (Buffalo area).

5 posted on 11/17/2007 3:00:12 PM PST by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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To: Clintonfatigued

It could be tough. The last two times, Reynolds ran against businessman Jack Davis, who was basically a Democrat-in-name-only who switched parties from R to D specifically to run against Reynolds. He basically ran on a fiscal conservative/protectionist platform, and came close last year.

If Reynolds retires, and I’m not quite convinced that he will, things will get very interesting.


6 posted on 11/17/2007 3:18:00 PM PST by jmyrlefuller (The Associated Press: The most dangerous news organization in America.[TM])
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To: Clintonfatigued

the republican, consevative, right to life parties died about a decade ago in my home state.


8 posted on 11/17/2007 3:44:18 PM PST by JohnLongIsland
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