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Election eve poll shows cliffhanger (Australia)
The Australian ^ | 23rd November 2007 | Dennis Shanahan

Posted on 11/22/2007 11:09:48 PM PST by naturalman1975

THE 2007 election has become a real contest in the final 72 hours of a gruelling six-week campaign. After he was written off as a ‘has-been’, John Howard’s last week of campaigning will give the Coalition hope of pulling off a miraculous victory tomorrow.

Labor is still in front and favourite to win the 2007 election but the latest Newspoll survey is showing a late surge to the Howard Government, particularly in Queensland and Western Australia.

Newspoll’s two-party preferred figure, based on preference flows at the 2004 election, has the Labor Party in front by 52 per cent to the Coalition’s 48 per cent.

The sample size was larger than average - 2614.

Last week the two-party preferred figure was 54 for Labor and 46 per cent for the Coalition.

It is the closest the Coalition has been to Labor since exactly one year ago today when Kim Beazley was still leader of the Labor Party facing a leadership campaign from Kevin Rudd.

At the beginning of the election campaign the ALP held a 16-point lead over the Coalition which would have annihilated the Howard Government.

The four-point lead Labor now has on two-party preferred figures gives Labor the edge but means the election will now depend on state by state variations and results in marginal seats.

The Newspoll results for The Australian back a Galaxy poll published in News Ltd newspapers which shows the same two-party preferred figure – 52 to 48 per cent.

It is possible for the ALP to get 51 per cent of the two-party preferred vote and still fail to get the necessary 16 seats it needs for victory.

(Excerpt) Read more at news.com.au ...


TOPICS: Australia/New Zealand
KEYWORDS: australianelection; johnhoward

1 posted on 11/22/2007 11:09:50 PM PST by naturalman1975
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To: naturalman1975

A real nailbiter..watching the results!!

God Bless your Dad, and God Bless you for your service to our country!!


2 posted on 11/22/2007 11:33:25 PM PST by PROCON
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To: PROCON

I’m sorry, Sir, can’t tell from the medals, etc if you, your Dad fought with our country or Australia..sorry!!


3 posted on 11/22/2007 11:37:06 PM PST by PROCON
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To: naturalman1975
"election has become a real contest in the final 72 hours of a gruelling six-week campaign. After he was written off as a ‘has-been’, John Howard’s last week of campaigning will give the Coalition hope of pulling off a miraculous victory tomorrow."

Well isn't this just always the case...

The bogus polls of the MSM trying to depress and deflate the conservative turnout on election day. But lo-and-behold in the last days when the truth is coming near all of a sudden the polls start showing the real situation is much different.

It happens *all* the time.

Watch for bogus exit polling too.

4 posted on 11/22/2007 11:49:33 PM PST by Berlin_Freeper (ETERNAL SHAME on the Treasonous and Immoral Democrats!)
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To: PROCON

Both of us served with the Australian Defence Force - alongside Americans in both cases. My father in Vietnam with the Australian Army, myself in the first Gulf War with the Royal Australian Navy. My father had also previously served with British Commonwealth forces in the Indonesia-Malaysia confrontation.


5 posted on 11/22/2007 11:50:01 PM PST by naturalman1975 ("America was under attack. Australia was immediately there to help." - John Winston Howard)
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To: Berlin_Freeper

Like the John Kerry exit polls?


6 posted on 11/22/2007 11:53:16 PM PST by CaptainK (...please make it stop. Shake a can of pennies at it.)
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To: naturalman1975

As we say in America, MY BAD, I’m so sorry..I’m also a Vietnam Vet..God Bless your Father, and God Bless You too, You Aussies are our favorite ALLY..It sounds like your family has a history of Military Service!!

If I was your Dad, I would say..I’m very proud of you my son!! Thanks Australia!!


7 posted on 11/23/2007 12:12:48 AM PST by PROCON
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To: naturalman1975

While the polls may be showing it close, my gut feeling is that the Libs will loose badly (20+ seats).

I wish the Libs would win, but I’ve got a really bad feeling about this.


8 posted on 11/23/2007 2:52:26 AM PST by Dundee (They gave up all their tomorrows for our today's.)
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To: Dundee

Yes, it doesn’t seem to look good for Howard and the socalled ‘scandal’ at the last minute could prove fatal.

I really hope they can pull it out of the bag at the last minute. Howard is a good man, and a good leader.

I’ll be watching closely tommorow morning as the results come in.


9 posted on 11/23/2007 7:32:54 AM PST by UKrepublican
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To: naturalman1975

If Australian polling is as skewed to the left as ours, it looks more and more as if Mr. Howard will win re-election. I surely hope that’s the case.


10 posted on 11/23/2007 8:15:20 AM PST by BfloGuy (It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we can expect . . .)
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