[codercpc]

I agree that he is in 2nd place nationally, but as I asked in my other post, what is his path to victory? He isn't leading in any of the early states, and the Super Duper Tuesday states that have the most delegates are all showing Rudy with the lead.

Ask Al Gore if national polls trump State polls.

I am not saying that in the next month he can't pull it out, but even his most ardent supporters must admit that he should have done a much better job in his early months. September through November should have sewn up his support, yet in every single poll taken (even nationally) his support went down and not up. With the Holidays upon us, many will not be paying as much attention as they have been in the past 3 months.

Even Rasmussen has him going from his high point of 29% down to 12-14% over the past week.

[rintense]

One, its far too early to trust any polling, including the national ones. Two, it is very clear that MSM are pushing their candidates and agendas via sorted bias. All of them are, including FNC. Three, where everything matters is at the grassroots. Four, we all know that winning Iowa and NH does not guarantee a nomination.

So, for a path to victory, all Fred has to do is keep on with his message- attack the issues and give timely responses to issues of the day (such as the DC gun hearing, etc.). The endorsements will keep coming for Fred. And I fully expect an NRA endorsement to come pretty quickly.

[CharlesWayneCT]

More importantly, if he’s in second 2 months after entering the race, it seems that means he isn’t going to knock off the guy in first place after all. Being 2nd means you lose.

Being 2nd before you even GET Into the race — GREAT NEWS. Being 2nd two months AFTER getting into the race — Losing.

But he is picking up, and a lot can change quickly, once people really get serious about the election.