Yesterday two polling firms -- Zogby and Gallup -- released surveys of the presidential race that offered strikingly different conclusions. The Zogby poll found that Hillary is trailing five leading GOP candidates in general election matchups. The Gallup Poll, by contrast, found that Hillary, and to a lesser degree Obama, has a slight to sizable lead over the top GOP contenders.
A couple of other things that distinguish these two polls: The Zogby one is an online poll, a notoriously unreliable method, while the Gallup one is a telephone poll. And, as Charles Franklin of Pollster.com observed yesterday, the Zogby poll is completely out of sync with multiple other national polls finding Hillary with a lead over the GOP candidates.
That does cause me more concern. Not enough to vote for Rudy, but some. I’ve seen several polls that have fully 50% of likely voters that say they would never vote for Hillary under any circumstances. This gives her very little margin of error.
These polls always oversample Dems as well and they tend to be weighted in a manner that benefits the Dem candidate.