Of all the candidates actually registering on the seismograph, John McCain has the least chance of becoming the nominee.
Why? Because he is already known as a candidate and has hit his high-water mark. He’s not going to be making new converts.
Huckabee, Thompson, Romney and even Giuliani can go up, but McCain will have an extrodinarily tough time climbing beyond the 15% range.
Watch the others rise and fall. You may see Huckabee above 30% - for a while. Thompson may claw back into the 20% plus range. Giuliani may fall into the teens and claw his way back up. Willard may be able slip into single digits and still recover. Who knows?
But McCain will never see 20%.
You may be right. We will see.