That’s a pretty good analysis. Thompson seems to be a second choice for almost all of the supporters of the other candidates—I can’t imagine Hunter or Huckabee supporters, for example, going for Giuliani or McCain.
“I can’t imagine Hunter or Huckabee supporters, for example, going for Giuliani or McCain.”
Hunter and Tancredo will be out before South Carolina, which should be a boost for Thompson of about 4-6 points because Thompson is the strongest major candidate on immigration.
By the time South Carolina is ready to vote, Huckabee’s record should have been attacked which will boost Thompson and prevent Hunter and Tancredo voters from voting for Huck.
Of course, it would be better if Tanc dropped out now and threw his 4-5 points to Thompson in Iowa.