I still think Willard is going to win Iowa, despite the polling, owing to the slavish devotion of his followers and the eleventy jillion dollars he’s spent on the ground.
My guess is that Huckabee will under-perform in Iowa. He’ll do OK...maybe 20-25%, since a number of his supporters seem to say, “He’s like me!”...and never think about whether somebody ‘like me’ should be President. In my case, you do NOT want somebody ‘like me’ in office!
However, I believe the system in Iowa forces people to talk about who they want and why. Will the Huckabee-ers stay loyal when confronted with his views on immigration, the GWOT, and clemency?
With the buildup, ‘winning’ with 24% will seem like a loss for Huckabee.