I do not believe in virtually any state poll other than the Mason Dixon poll which had been very accurate in state polls. QFT. Rasmussen is okay. Des Moines Register is pretty good in Iowa. Research 2000, maybe.
Zogby was dead on in predicting both the GOP and Democratic gubernatorial primaries last year:
Zogby showed Crist ahead of Gallagher by 29.5% Crist won by 30.5%
Zogby also showed Davis leading Smith by 4.9% Davis won 6.1%
http://www.zogby.com/Soundbites/ReadClips.dbm?ID=13616
http://www.zogby.com/Soundbites/ReadClips.dbm?ID=13616