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Pakistan may not make it
The Guardian,U.K ^ | December 31, 2007 | Peter Galbraith

Posted on 12/30/2007 9:32:47 PM PST by sukhoi-30mki

Pakistan may not make it

The country's future now depends on a power struggle between the army and Bhutto's son

Peter Galbraith

Monday December 31, 2007

The Guardian

With the assassination of Benazir Bhutto, Pakistan's survival depends on the outcome of a struggle between the army and Bhutto's Pakistan People's party, now headed by her 19-year-old son Bilawal. The protagonists are mismatched and the odds are that Pakistan will not make it.

For all its flaws, the PPP is Pakistan's only true national institution. As well as overwhelming support in the Bhutto family's home province of Sindh, it has substantial support in Punjab and North-West Frontier Province. Like many south Asian political parties, it is a family affair, but it has an enduring platform: opposition to military rule.

Pakistan's army has long defined itself as the guardian of the nation, and successive generals have used this role as their excuse to seize and hold power. But the army is not a national institution. Historically, the Punjab has produced 90% of the officer corps while the Sindh, with 25% of Pakistan's population, is essentially unrepresented. Sindhis tend to see army rule as equivalent to Punjabi rule. The Bhutto killing sparked widespread attacks on federal property in Sindh and could galvanise separatist sentiment in the province..........

But the larger problem is the Pakistani military. Pakistan's ruling generals have an almost unbroken record of sacrificing the national interest for their personal interest. Musharraf is not as bloodthirsty as his predecessor Zia ul-Haq but is no less keen on power.

.......... Many Pakistanis - and most Sindhis - believe Musharraf and the army had a role in the Bhutto killing, which took place in a garrison city. Musharraf cannot be trusted to conduct an impartial investigation of the murder of his top rival.

(Excerpt) Read more at guardian.co.uk ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bhutto; pakistan; pakistaniarmy

1 posted on 12/30/2007 9:32:50 PM PST by sukhoi-30mki
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To: sukhoi-30mki

I agree with the writer.

Bad times in the region ahead.


2 posted on 12/30/2007 9:34:50 PM PST by Jet Jaguar (Who would the terrorists vote for?)
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To: sukhoi-30mki

I nominate Greta van Sustren and Dr. Michael Baden to investigate!


3 posted on 12/30/2007 9:39:45 PM PST by Wally_Kalbacken (Seldom right but never in doubt)
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To: Jet Jaguar

Pakistan will be there tomorrow, a year from now and a hundred years from now.


4 posted on 12/30/2007 9:42:23 PM PST by Soliton
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To: sukhoi-30mki

5 posted on 12/30/2007 9:44:44 PM PST by blam (Secure the border and enforce the law)
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To: Soliton

I am not really sure why a big deal is being made about her assassination. Those nukes in Pakistan actually belong to DPRoK.


6 posted on 12/30/2007 9:45:22 PM PST by Perdogg (Fred Thompson for President)
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To: sukhoi-30mki

The article is misleading. Bhutto’s son is a figurehead only, and has said he’s staying at Oxford.


7 posted on 12/30/2007 9:47:26 PM PST by Rb ver. 2.0 (Global warming is the new Marxism.)
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To: Perdogg

I hope they threaten to use a nuke. Then our guys will have to grow some and get er doene.


8 posted on 12/30/2007 9:48:19 PM PST by Soliton
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To: Perdogg

Nope-they belong to the Chicoms.The Paki missiles carrying them belong to Pyongyang.


9 posted on 12/30/2007 9:48:33 PM PST by sukhoi-30mki
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To: sukhoi-30mki
For all its flaws, the PPP is Pakistan's only true national institution.

Allow me to translate: For all its flaws, a socialist kleptocracy off which our sponsors hope to profit is Pakistan's only true national institution.

As if the military wasn't a "national institution."

10 posted on 12/30/2007 9:57:00 PM PST by Carry_Okie (Grovelnator Schwarzenkaiser, fashionable fascism one charade at a time.)
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To: Jet Jaguar
Bad times in the region ahead.

true, there was a report of people in India trying to kill Christians this morning.

11 posted on 12/30/2007 10:09:15 PM PST by org.whodat (What's the difference between a Democrat and a republican????)
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To: Perdogg

LOL WUT?

Pakistan’s nukes are far more sophisticated than DPRK’s, something made fairly obvious by the fact that Pakistan’s nuclear tests worked and North Korea’s didn’t. :p

If anything, the flow of knowledge went in the other direction.


12 posted on 12/30/2007 10:31:57 PM PST by Constantine XIII
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To: sukhoi-30mki
Very real possibility, I hope Bush gets the Paki nukes secured quickly
13 posted on 12/30/2007 10:38:56 PM PST by valkyry1
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To: Soliton

True


14 posted on 12/30/2007 10:39:48 PM PST by eyedigress
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To: sukhoi-30mki
I doubt the Chicoms would be too distraught if Pakistan and India got into a nuclear exchange. It would cripple a major opponent and they could just sit back and proclaim their innocence while reaping the rewards.
15 posted on 12/30/2007 10:43:59 PM PST by Stonewall Jackson (The Hunt for FRed November. 11/04/08)
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To: Stonewall Jackson

The Chicoms don’t want a slippery Pakistan either. Look at the map. Pakistan borders China.


16 posted on 12/30/2007 11:01:41 PM PST by Soliton
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To: Soliton
Pakistan will be there tomorrow, a year from now and a hundred years from now.

Yes, that is right. Pakistan will be there and it will "make it." There is no other option other than the far-fetched meteorite or the not-so-far-fetched nukes blowing it to kingdom come.

But the writer is indeed correct that it may not be a democracy and more importantly a pro-western democracy. The people of Pakistan need our prayers.

17 posted on 12/31/2007 2:38:48 AM PST by Jemian
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