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Here’s a snapshot of today’s Iowa caucus for Intrade. Significantly, you don’t mention Thompson, who has been holding off Hunter due to name recognition. But right now there are 20 points missing from the results (they don’t add to 100) and as you can see, there’s wild swings lately between Huckster and Romney, more than 30 points in one day. Iowans are dissatisfied with the front runners.

Winner of 2008 Republican Iowa Caucus
REP.IOWA.HUCKABEE
Mike Huckabee to Win M 48.1 53.9 50.0 1973 +5.0
REP.IOWA.ROMNEY
Mitt Romney to Win M 32.0 46.2 20.0 2463 -30.0
REP.IOWA.THOMPSON(F)
Fred Thompson to Win M 0.3 0.8 0.1 700 0
REP.IOWA.MCCAIN
John McCain to Win M 0.4 3.5 0.4 912 0
REP.IOWA.GIULIANI
Rudy Giuliani to Win M - 0.1 0.1 701 0
REP.IOWA.GINGRICH
Newt Gingrich to Win M - 0.1 0.1 0 0
REP.IOWA.HAGEL
Chuck Hagel to Win M - 0.1 0.1 0 0
REP.IOWA.FIELD
Field (any other individual) to Win M 4.7 5.7 5.0 1618 +0.2

No, I didn’t mention Thompson. I only mentioned the winnables. Thompson was the first campaign that I donated money to, but he turned out to be a horrible candidate and I withdrew my support as to not waste it on somebody who is doomed to lose. I like Thompson, but he’s a geriatric.

Thanks for the INtrade numbers. Have a happy New Year.