[Man50D]

Anybody that can’t poll around random chance (ie with 4 people in the race around 25%, with 8 contenders around 12% etc etc) probably can’t win, and anybody that can’t poll better than the published margin of error absolutely cannot win.

Polls are a farce for several reasons:

1. They cover a very small percentage of the population.
2. Pollsters can target a group of people they know will give certain responses.
3. Pollsters can structure a question a certain way to elicit a given response.
4. Pollsters can discard any responses that contradict their desired results.

Unfortunately too many people give too much credit to polls and end up making assumptions by drinking the Kool Aid offered by the socialist media.

[discostu]

Polls aren’t as big a farce as people wish they were. Taken individually sure they can often be in error, but given the way the polls have been flying for the last 13 months, and given the consistency of the picture they’re painting down at the bottom end, they add up to fairly solid information on exactly who cannot win the election.

Unfortunately too many people approach their candidates like they do a sports team and think lying to themselves is a show of loyalty.