OK, I gotta ask, what happens if Fred loses SC? Is that end of his campaign?
OK, I gotta ask, what happens if Fred loses SC? Is that end of his campaign?
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I’ll leave that for someone that knows more about primaries than I do to answer. It seems to me that if Fred doesn’t make a move somewhere before the “super tuesday” set of primaries he can’t win the nomination through the primaries. That said, if the delegate count stays so confused he should stay in through the convention in case he can get the nod there as a compromise candidate.
OK, I gotta ask, what happens if Fred loses SC? Is that end of his campaign?
Anything worse than a strong 2nd in SC would be the end of Fred's campaign IMO. He has put all his eggs in SC, just as Rudy has gone ALL-IN in Florida.
That said, Fred may stick around through Super Tuesday as there are a lot of states that day in which he is polling strongly (I.E. Alabama where he leads comfortably in the last poll) -- but if he struggles in SC I would expect the Super Tuesday support to dry up a lot.
So, he may not drop out after SC, but I think he has to Win or barely place second to have any chance at all.
That said, I have donated and sincerely hope something helps Fred catch fire with the electorate soon.
My guess it will depend on how well he does there.
Keep in mind his campaighn is not well covered by the media and a lot of voters don't know him as a conservative politician.
But once he gets some good press and conservatives discover that he is the only reliable conservative in the race they will rally behind him (i.e. "saddle up").
At that point in time the race will come down to a Rino and Fred. And the Rino will be either Mitt or Rudy.
When Fred drops out, Hunter will be the only conservative candidate left, watch for a Hunter surge after South Carolina.
If Fred doesn't win SC, he's in trouble. If he does lower than a strong second, he's finished. It's his must-have state.