>>Conventional wisdom has McCain benefitting from a big turnout — but in this open primary, that depends on the behavior of independents.
Who might take a Dem ballot and vote for Obama to stick
it to Hillary.
KINKOS anyone?
I have some stuffed in my socks
If I was a republican in NH I might be tempted to vote for obama or edwards to make sure the beast is not nominated.
just wondering if a lot of that is happening
I think that Obama is doing so well because Independents and Republicans are voting for him in order to keep Hillary off of the ticket in November. I believe many in her own party detest her as much as the VRWC does.
Vote early, vote often... great for winter tourist season too...
Conventional wisdom has McCain benefitting from a big turnout — but in this open primary, that depends on the behavior of independents. If most of them decide to cast their votes in the Democratic primary, McCain could find himself struggling. He appeals more to independent Granite State voters, who appreciate his maverick tendencies. If he can’t get a big enough boost from independents, he may slip out of the lead while Romney collects the Republican votes. It could change the entire dynamic of McCain’s rise over the last few weeks — which may wind up benefiting Obama instead.
Thats my best guess as to whats actually happening in New Hampshire today. McCain was the ‘it’ Candidate for NH in 2000.
Obama is the ‘it’ candidate this time around. The fact that they ran out of Democrat ballots tells me Independents are swarming the dem primary to vote for Obama/Against Hillary.
That means John McCain - never a darling of the GOP base at any point in time - is left looking for a seat tonight when the music stops.
When The Evil One gets the nomination due to the superdelgates, a very large number of these hopeful/excited independants will STAY HOME!
Somehow, I don't think we're making "herstory" today.
I think Hillary will lose big in New Hampshire, and her campaign manager will spin it something linke this: “Due to a lack of ballots, a majority of her supporters did not have a chance to vote.”
So I expect them to play the “not-enough-ballots” card to cover the embarassment in losing to Obama.
...and when they end up with a vote count larger than the population?.../s
Independant breaking big towards Dems..
Goodbye McCain...you may win, but this development, if true, is an albatross around your neck going forward.
Then, when the data is in, it's been no different than previous elections.
Huge win for McCain JMO. Sadly. The media will then start screaming for Romney to get out to continue their quest to select the Republican candidate.
I guess the dead are even getting up to vote
I guess the dead are even getting up to vote
For Obama would signal trouble for the GOP come election day.
Against Hillary would likely be neutral to slightly favoring GOP come election day.
Wouldn’t this be bad news for Ron Paul also? Conventional wisdom says that the independent vote was what kept him in the running in New Hampshire.