Here are the latest polls from South Carolina (within the past week). Fred is in 4th place in all of them.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/sc/south_carolina_republican_primary-233.html
I think he can leap frog Mitt since he has pretty much pulled out from there, but can he beat Huck and McCain in one weeks time? I don’t know. I do know that Huck, McCain, and Mitt are all concentrating on Michigan, and won’t show up in SC until Wednesday, so that is the time that Fred must get on every single local radio show, be in every single newspaper, and show up in every single town. Can he do it? This is his time.
I am afraid that Wednesday and Thursday media will be dominated by the Michigan winner (or loser if it is Mitt), so the window of free media is closing fast, can he make up the 10-15% he is down in a week?
My greatest hope is that he can take out Huck. Realistically what is the minimum that Fred can get and still be viable in the race? For months everyone here said 1st place, now I am hearing a “close”. How “close” does he have to be, especially if in the end he is behind Huck?
I don’t think 1st or 2nd is nearly as important as can he beat Huck?
Fred has been in South Carolina a week now and is still 4th? Come on Fred. South Carolina is a pretty small state. Tennessee was much bigger and you were able to go to every city there.
These things can chanage on a dime. Just ask Obama. Fred’s great debate showing and his positive press are going to give him a solid boost in SC. You can already see it in his fund raising since the debate. He is also working SC very hard. I think he will do just fine there as long as he keeps showing the world that Huck is a lib on important issues. Huck’s metamucil comment may have done more damage to himself than people think. If you are going to play the Baptist minister to get evangelical votes, you can’t be taking personal pot shots at someone, especially insults about their age. It would help Fred if he would start calling out McCain as being a lib also, but I really think conseratives remember all he has done against us. I don’t think South Carolinian conservatives will be able to pull the lever for McCain...not if they think Fred can actually win. Fred needs some new polls to come out showing he is gaining ground. That might give some fickle voters the confidence they need to vote for Fred. I think polls will start showing Fred gaining at just the right time.