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Romney expands lead in Florida [Romney 35%; McCain 28%]
Public Policy Polling ^ | January 28, 2008 | DEAN DEBNAM

Posted on 01/28/2008 11:28:29 AM PST by Plutarch

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To: Old Retired Army Guy
This poll is dated January 23rd. Long before Martinez and Christ endorsements.

Huh? From the article:

PPP surveyed 680 likely Republican primary voters on January 27th....

41 posted on 01/28/2008 11:57:09 AM PST by Recovering_Democrat ((I am SO glad to no longer be associated with the party of Dependence on Government!))
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To: libbylu

I encourage people NOT to hang up on the calls that are for McCain...it just uses up their resources.

When I get a call for McCain, I just let it run....they’re wasting their breath, but they don’t know that.


42 posted on 01/28/2008 11:58:58 AM PST by Recovering_Democrat ((I am SO glad to no longer be associated with the party of Dependence on Government!))
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To: Brilliant
I wish I could believe these polls, but I don’t.

According to the survey, Public Polling has only done South Carolina, and with middling results. However, note that on the Dem side in SC Public Polling was the least inaccurate of all the polls, being blindsided the least by Obama's landslide.

Hopefully Public Polling is accurately detecting a Romney surge for tomorrow!

2008 Presidential Primary Pollster Report Card Through 01/26/08

detailed-2008-primary-report-card-through-012608-amended.JPG

43 posted on 01/28/2008 12:01:33 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Plutarch

44 posted on 01/28/2008 12:01:37 PM PST by Spiff
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To: Recovering_Democrat

I have been listening to them to see what they say but I am too mad at Crist to listen to him.
Not much today, one call from Mitt, one mccain, and then one for huck on right to life/marriage issues, comparing his record to the other 3. not truthfully of course.


45 posted on 01/28/2008 12:02:20 PM PST by libbylu (Why vote for a democrat with an R next to his name? I'm a MITTen.)
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To: Vigilanteman

I hope these poll results are accurate, but polls have been off too much.


46 posted on 01/28/2008 12:06:23 PM PST by apocalypto
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To: Plutarch
Wow, Rudy's down in Huckster territory. Rudy could be done before he even gets started.

And it looks like most conservatives have decided Mitt's the only viable alternative to McCain.

47 posted on 01/28/2008 12:07:14 PM PST by colorado tanker
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To: Plutarch

Go Mitt!


48 posted on 01/28/2008 12:12:45 PM PST by TheLion
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To: Plutarch

The lies about what Romney said concerning timetables won’t help McCain.

He played the dishonesty card.


49 posted on 01/28/2008 12:14:10 PM PST by wolfcreek (The Status Quo Sucks!)
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To: libbylu
I have been listening to them to see what they say but I am too mad at Crist to listen to him.

Yeah, Crist rankles me to no end.

The property tax relief amendment I'll vote for--but it is a far far cry from what he campaigned on!

He sucks up to the Global Warming idiocy, and in the last days of the campaign tries to become a little "kingmaker" for the McLame Campaign.

Like I said before: I walked my precinct and made phone calls for this guy. He was better than the 'rat Davis...but I doubt he'll be getting my legwork this time around.

50 posted on 01/28/2008 12:16:24 PM PST by Recovering_Democrat ((I am SO glad to no longer be associated with the party of Dependence on Government!))
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To: Rumierules
I’ll take it. Wonder why RealClearPolitics doesn’t rely on this though?

RCP doesn't include all the polls. For example, ARG is no longer included. RCP didn't include Public Policy in its South Carolina average, even though Public Policy ended up the most accurate on the Democratic side.

51 posted on 01/28/2008 12:26:20 PM PST by Plutarch
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To: Plutarch

Florida is a RINO take all state?


52 posted on 01/28/2008 12:35:10 PM PST by bluebeak
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To: Plutarch

Also, judging by their published client list, PPP is a wholly-owned subsidiary of the North Carolina Democrat Party.


53 posted on 01/28/2008 12:35:54 PM PST by The Pack Knight (Duty, Honor, Country.)
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To: Plutarch

I heard on one of the talking heads show that a lot of Jeb Bush’s organization in Florida is quietly and behind the scenes working for Mitt. If this is true it should help Mitt out more than Crist coming out in support of McCain in the waning days of the primary. I don’t know Crist that well, but I do know that Jeb Bush is a true conservative. Much more than his brother. That tells me a lot when he supports someone.


54 posted on 01/28/2008 12:43:02 PM PST by Old Teufel Hunden
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To: Spiff
Pollster.com has included this poll in their compilation, unlike RCP. As a result, they have Mitt ahead of McCain.


55 posted on 01/28/2008 12:58:57 PM PST by Plutarch ( For Mitt since back in the day.)
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To: Plutarch
I included the latest polls that, for some reason, RCP is not including.

By the way, those Pollster charts are downright purty...

56 posted on 01/28/2008 1:02:36 PM PST by Spiff
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To: VegasBaby
This makes me feel a little better because if you look at the polling, 40% of the respondents are over 65% and over 80% of the respondents are over 45. This means that it was weighted more towards those who would likely support McCain.

I wouldn't make that assumption. Whether McCain gets more support among these groups varies by several demographic factors.

As you observed, 80% of the people polled were over 45. It's impossible that this is what the Florida electorate looks like. And only 4% of the participants were between the ages of 18 and 29. Again, it's just impossible that the Florida electorate has that few people in their 20s.

I don't feel good when I see this kind of thing. I wonder what the pollster is thinking cause I sure would not settle for such a lopsided sample.

57 posted on 01/28/2008 1:14:36 PM PST by freespirited (Still a proud member of the Stupid Party. It beats the Evil Party any day of the week.)
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To: dangus

When phone calls are made for polling purposes, all answers are taken into account, including those who already voted.

Note that these are not exit polls done at the voting booth.
Those polls would exclude advance voters.


58 posted on 01/28/2008 2:02:44 PM PST by ajay_kumar (United we win, divided democrats win. How difficult is that to understand?)
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To: wolfcreek
Umm... they’re kinda not lies. Romney didn’t support the surge really strongly and was hedging his bets just because he failed... He’s the Republican version of Jaques Francois Kerry... He’s only concerned about winning and changes his positions for short term gain. If Romney by some miracle wins the nomination, I’ll definitely not vote for him and I don’t know many mod. conservatives/ moderate Republicans who will.
59 posted on 01/28/2008 4:59:13 PM PST by Accygirl
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To: ajay_kumar

>> When phone calls are made for polling purposes, all answers are taken into account, including those who already voted. <<

Yes, but votes shift, and with a small portion actually voting and a large portion saying they will vote, a random sample survey will not reflect the actual voters.


60 posted on 01/28/2008 7:49:04 PM PST by dangus
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