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SNIP...current efforts by the Mexican government might impede the various gangs, but they won’t break the cartel system. The supply chain along the border is simply too diffuse and too plastic. It shifts too easily under pressure. The border can’t be sealed, and the level of economic activity shields smuggling too well. Farmers in Mexico can’t be persuaded to stop growing illegal drugs for the same reason that Bolivians and Afghans can’t. Market demand is too high and alternatives too bleak. The Mexican supply chain is too robust — and too profitable — to break easily.

The likely course is a multigenerational pattern of instability along the border. More important, there will be a substantial transfer of wealth from the United States to Mexico in return for an intrinsically low-cost consumable product — drugs. This will be one of the sources of capital that will build the Mexican economy, which today is 14th largest in the world. The accumulation of drug money is and will continue finding its way into the Mexican economy, creating a pool of investment capital. The children and grandchildren of the Zetas will be running banks, running for president, building art museums and telling amusing anecdotes about how grandpa made his money running blow into Nuevo Laredo.

It will also destabilize the U.S. Southwest while grandpa makes his pile. As is frequently the case, it is a problem for which there are no good solutions, or for which the solution is one without real support.

Please feel free to distribute this Geopolitical Intelligence Report to friends or repost to your Web site attributing Stratfor.

1 posted on 01/29/2008 6:26:53 PM PST by fight_truth_decay
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To: fight_truth_decay
Oh heck no, don't try and stop them or anything harsh like that!

I have a little solution...


2 posted on 01/29/2008 6:36:42 PM PST by TLI ( ITINERIS IMPENDEO VALHALLA)
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To: fight_truth_decay
The dynamics in the borderland are shifting and must be understood in a broader, geopolitical context.

Yeah, too much money involved in:

1) Drugs,
2) Remittances by illegal immigrants to their homeland,
3) Cheap labor.

Between those three reasons, common sense border security solutions get thrown out of the window. Those are also the reasons why simple enforcement on our side of the border isn't feasible. The solution must be abroad (in Mexico) as well as on our side of the border in order for it to be effective. In short, we probably have to invade Mexico if we want to solve their problems that are causing us so many problems.

3 posted on 01/29/2008 6:37:51 PM PST by coconutt2000 (NO MORE PEACE FOR OIL!!! DOWN WITH TYRANTS, TERRORISTS, AND TIMIDCRATS!!!! (3-T's For World Peace))
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To: fight_truth_decay
This is gonna be WAY bigger than a Gaza Strip!


4 posted on 01/29/2008 7:27:19 PM PST by Travis McGee (---www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com---)
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To: fight_truth_decay

Sure there’s lots of ways to stop it.

1) Start giving druggies harsh prison sentences.
2) Build the @#^%&$ fence already.
3) Massive deportations.
4) Serious fines and prison sentences for employers, landlords, and mayor’s of sanctuary cities.
5) Stop all government freebies.


5 posted on 01/29/2008 7:45:47 PM PST by mtbopfuyn (I think the border is kind of an artificial barrier - San Antonio councilwoman Patti Radle)
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To: fight_truth_decay

6 posted on 01/29/2008 8:09:24 PM PST by Sir Francis Dashwood (LET'S ROLL!)
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