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Thank God Mitt had the money to fight the establishment and the MSM or it would have just been a Rudy coronation thanks to McCain-Feingold.

Romney will have no trouble rallying the key factions of the base to vote against Obama or Hillary as indicated by the exit numbers in Florida. McCain will.

Additionallly, as we won with Reagan, we will win by appealing to conservative dems and conservative indies, not liberals and moderates.

Romney appeals to those kind of conservative Reagan democrat voters.

You are saying everything is different. The old rules don't apply. The Reagan coalition is dead.

Well, I don't believe it. And it doesn't have to be that way if we don't give up.

I don’t think the Reagan coalition is dead, but it is not as strong as it once was either.

Look, all points given I want Mitt to succeed, I really do, and while his Conservative bonafides leave me a little disheartened, I think he will at least make an effort for the cause.

But that is not the issue.

The problem is not the centers of the base but the sides. There are many core conservatives and many evangelical/religious voters, especially in the South, that will not vote for Romney ether because of his weak Conservative credentials or because of his religion. These folks will stay at home.

When it comes to his religion, well I have already been called a bigot on that today, which is funny as hell since I went out of the way to make it clear that was never a factor for me, but reality is reality. Huck is doing well in Alabama, Georgia and the like because of it, and Mitt’s weak numbers in Florida were in part due to that factor as well.

The core Conservatives will also stay home because his Record, not his rhetoric, is weak on those things they value.

Now what numbers are we looking at, maybe 4-8% of the normal base, the ones who elected GWB both times. Take 4-8% out of the 2000 and 2004 elections and we would have lost.

So this has nothing to do with moderates, and very little to do with Reagan Democrats, who to be honest will be a problem for us if it is Obama, but not if it is Hillary. Mitt can appeal to those if he is in the General, but they were with us in 2000 and 2006 also for the most part. This has everything to do with key voting blocks that are normally slam dunks for these candidates.