It’s Zogby so who knows. But what we do know is that it’s pretty close either way, and Romney can take enough delegates there to hold his own. It will be either he takes 90+ and McCain takes 70+, or vice versa.
The real key is the 203 delegates up for grabs in the 6 caucus states on Super Tuesday, as well as the 79 in Utah and Mass, Romney needs do in the caucus states what he did today in Maine, and take about 250 of the 282 in those 8 states. if he does that and pick up 70-80 in California, he will be within striking distance of McCain after Super Tuesday (down 150 delegates), with 2 of the 3 states on Feb 9th also caucus states with 128 delegates up for grab on that day, he could be neck and neck with McCain still by this time next week.
If Romney is close or ahead after Tuesday, McCain may be toast the rest of the way.